Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.7447052    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Newington              CT M          ( 3-13, 72.4)    16- 5   
 411 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 6-10, 79.5)    13- 4   
 413 H Amity Regional         CT L          (14- 6, 91.1)     9- 7   
 416 A Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          ( 9- 9, 85.1)    10- 8   
 423 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (14- 6, 93.1)     6-13   
 427 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 5-11, 74.0)    17- 5   
 430 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 8, 78.4)    13- 2   
 506 A North Haven            CT M          ( 6-10, 72.0)    14- 1   
 509 H Southington            CT L          (12- 6, 86.9)     9- 7   
 511 H West Haven             CT L          ( 3-13, 62.9)    14- 1   
 514 H Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 89.6)     6-12   
 516 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 6, 96.3)     3-15   
 518 A Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 73.5)    14- 5   
 519 H Branford               CT M          ( 7-11, 80.6)    13- 1   
 520 A Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 4-16, 83.8)    16- 5   
 522 H Ledyard                CT S          (14- 6, 83.5)    19- 5   
 527 A Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 89.6)     6- 7   
 606 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 9- 9, 81.3)    15- 3   
 609 N Glastonbury            CT L          (15- 6, 93.0)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Newington              16- 5      11    16           0.00
   411 A Northwest Catholic     13- 4       9     9          -0.57
   413 H Amity Regional          9- 7       2     0           1.98
   416 A Daniel Hand-Madison    10- 8       2     3          -1.99
   423 A Cheshire HS             6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.96
   427 H Hamden                 17- 5      12    17           0.00
   430 A Notre Dame-West Haven  13- 2      11    10           0.00
   506 A North Haven            14- 1      13    17           0.00
   509 H Southington             9- 7       2     4    -     -2.20
   511 H West Haven             14- 1      13    28           0.00
   514 H Guilford                6-12      -6     1    ---   -7.48
   516 H Fairfield Prep          3-15     -12    -5    --    -4.83
   518 A Shelton                14- 5       9    15          -1.00
   519 H Branford               13- 1      12    10           0.00
   520 A Cathedral Springfield  16- 5      11     5          n/a  
   522 H Ledyard                19- 5      14     7    +      2.44
   527 A Guilford                6- 7      -1     0          -0.50
   606 H Norwich Free Academy   15- 3      12     9           0.23
   609 N Glastonbury             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.09

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   514 H Guilford                6-12      -6     1    ---   -7.48
   516 H Fairfield Prep          3-15     -12    -5    --    -4.83
   609 N Glastonbury             4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.09
   423 A Cheshire HS             6-13      -7    -4    -     -2.96
   509 H Southington             9- 7       2     4    -     -2.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Cathedral Springfield  16- 5      11     5    ++         
   522 H Ledyard                19- 5      14     7    +      2.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.09 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.97 Local SOS Rank.............    32
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3
/