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Conf = SCIAC Region = CT L Nickname = T Falcons Coach = Scott BasileGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 90.7447052 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 408 A Newington CT M ( 3-13, 72.4) 16- 5 411 A Northwest Catholic CT S ( 6-10, 79.5) 13- 4 413 H Amity Regional CT L (14- 6, 91.1) 9- 7 416 A Daniel Hand-Madison CT M ( 9- 9, 85.1) 10- 8 423 A Cheshire HS CT L (14- 6, 93.1) 6-13 427 H Hamden CT L ( 5-11, 74.0) 17- 5 430 A Notre Dame-West Haven CT M ( 9- 8, 78.4) 13- 2 506 A North Haven CT M ( 6-10, 72.0) 14- 1 509 H Southington CT L (12- 6, 86.9) 9- 7 511 H West Haven CT L ( 3-13, 62.9) 14- 1 514 H Guilford CT M (14- 6, 89.6) 6-12 516 H Fairfield Prep CT L (17- 6, 96.3) 3-15 518 A Shelton CT L ( 4-12, 73.5) 14- 5 519 H Branford CT M ( 7-11, 80.6) 13- 1 520 A Cathedral Springfield MA 2 ( 4-16, 83.8) 16- 5 522 H Ledyard CT S (14- 6, 83.5) 19- 5 527 A Guilford CT M (14- 6, 89.6) 6- 7 606 H Norwich Free Academy CT L ( 9- 9, 81.3) 15- 3 609 N Glastonbury CT L (15- 6, 93.0) 4-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Newington 16- 5 11 16 0.00 411 A Northwest Catholic 13- 4 9 9 -0.57 413 H Amity Regional 9- 7 2 0 1.98 416 A Daniel Hand-Madison 10- 8 2 3 -1.99 423 A Cheshire HS 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.96 427 H Hamden 17- 5 12 17 0.00 430 A Notre Dame-West Haven 13- 2 11 10 0.00 506 A North Haven 14- 1 13 17 0.00 509 H Southington 9- 7 2 4 - -2.20 511 H West Haven 14- 1 13 28 0.00 514 H Guilford 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.48 516 H Fairfield Prep 3-15 -12 -5 -- -4.83 518 A Shelton 14- 5 9 15 -1.00 519 H Branford 13- 1 12 10 0.00 520 A Cathedral Springfield 16- 5 11 5 n/a 522 H Ledyard 19- 5 14 7 + 2.44 527 A Guilford 6- 7 -1 0 -0.50 606 H Norwich Free Academy 15- 3 12 9 0.23 609 N Glastonbury 4-11 -7 -2 -- -4.09UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Guilford 6-12 -6 1 --- -7.48 516 H Fairfield Prep 3-15 -12 -5 -- -4.83 609 N Glastonbury 4-11 -7 -2 -- -4.09 423 A Cheshire HS 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.96 509 H Southington 9- 7 2 4 - -2.20OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 A Cathedral Springfield 16- 5 11 5 ++ 522 H Ledyard 19- 5 14 7 + 2.44/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.09 Local Power Rank........... 17 Local SOS Rating......... 62.97 Local SOS Rank............. 32 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 18 Championship Probability . 1.0 Championship Rank ....... 9 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 17 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 6.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -12.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -5.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.3