Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Trojans              Coach  =   Brendan Carney        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.1769943    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Simsbury               CT L          (17- 5, 93.2)     7- 6 2o
 411 H Immaculate Danbury     CT S          (10- 7, 82.0)    12- 3   
 415 H Bunnell-Stratford      CT M          ( 1-15, 66.5)    16- 0   
 418 H Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 89.6)     6-11   
 421 H Newtown                CT L          (17- 4, 93.3)     9-11   
 425 A New Milford            CT L          (14- 6, 90.5)    14-15   
 427 H Stratford              CT S          ( 4-12, 69.6)    15- 1   
 429 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 3-13, 70.6)    16- 1   
 430 A Brookfield             CT M          ( 8-10, 80.5)    11- 0   
 506 A Pomperaug              CT M          ( 6-11, 76.0)    15- 5   
 508 H Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 8-10, 76.6)    14- 2   
 511 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          (10- 8, 87.6)     7-12   
 514 A Staples-Westport       CT L          (10- 8, 87.9)     8- 9   
 516 A New Fairfield          CT M          (20- 2, 94.8)    11-17   
 518 A Barlow-Redding         CT S          (13- 5, 90.5)     7- 9   
 520 H Bethel                 CT M          ( 4-12, 72.0)    14- 3   
 527 A Barlow-Redding         CT S          (13- 5, 90.5)     5- 4   
 529 N New Fairfield          CT M          (20- 2, 94.8)    13-15   
 606 A Stonington             CT S          (10- 8, 76.2)    19- 6   
 609 A Granby                 CT S          (15- 3, 84.8)    12- 4   
 611 N Ledyard                CT S          (14- 6, 83.5)    15- 9   
 613 N St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (16- 5, 91.1)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Simsbury                7- 6 2o    1    -3    ++     4.74
   411 H Immaculate Danbury     12- 3       9     7           1.45
   415 H Bunnell-Stratford      16- 0      16    22           0.00
   418 H Guilford                6-11      -5     0    --    -4.90
   421 H Newtown                 9-11      -2    -3           1.80
   425 A New Milford            14-15      -1    -3    +      2.02
   427 H Stratford              15- 1      14    19           0.00
   429 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   16- 1      15    16           0.00
   430 A Brookfield             11- 0      11     7    +      2.94
   506 A Pomperaug              15- 5      10    11           0.00
   508 H Masuk-Monroe           14- 2      12    12           0.00
   511 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   7-12      -5     0    --    -4.91
   514 A Staples-Westport        8- 9      -1     0          -0.57
   516 A New Fairfield          11-17      -6    -7           1.33
   518 A Barlow-Redding          7- 9      -2    -2           0.95
   520 H Bethel                 14- 3      11    17           0.00
   527 A Barlow-Redding          5- 4       1    -2    +      3.95
   529 N New Fairfield          13-15      -2    -6    ++     4.34
   606 A Stonington             19- 6      13    11           0.00
   609 A Granby                 12- 4       8     2    ++     5.25
   611 N Ledyard                15- 9       6     4           1.01
   613 N St Joseph-Trumbull     11-12      -1    -2           1.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Guilford                6-11      -5     0    --    -4.90
   511 A Brien McMahon-Norwalk   7-12      -5     0    --    -4.91

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Simsbury                7- 6 2o    1    -3    ++     4.74
   529 N New Fairfield          13-15      -2    -6    ++     4.34
   609 A Granby                 12- 4       8     2    ++     5.25
   425 A New Milford            14-15      -1    -3    +      2.02
   430 A Brookfield             11- 0      11     7    +      2.94
   527 A Barlow-Redding          5- 4       1    -2    +      3.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.51 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.46 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    74
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    27
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/