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Region = PA LL01 Nickname = A Warriors Coach = Chris SchmehlGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.1835327 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 323 H Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 (10- 8, 89.1) 8- 3 325 H Penn Manor PA LL01 (11- 8, 90.5) 9- 2 327 A Carlisle PA Mid 1 (18- 8, 92.8) 4- 6 331 A Manheim Township PA LL01 (20- 6, 98.9) 2- 8 407 A Elizabethtown PA LL02 ( 5-13, 80.5) 8- 3 409 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL02 (12- 6, 91.2) 10- 4 413 H Garden Spot PA LL02 ( 1-16, 65.9) 23- 1 414 H Hempfield PA LL01 (20- 5, 99.9) 6- 9 416 A Ephrata PA LL02 (11- 9, 89.0) 11- 3 417 H Cocalico PA LL02 ( 4-15, 75.3) 13- 0 421 H Wilson West Lawn PA Berks (12- 7, 87.6) 13- 1 422 A Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 (10- 8, 89.1) 6- 7 424 A Hershey PA Mid 1 (22- 3, 97.7) 3-11 425 H Easton PA LehighV (14- 7, 86.0) 3- 4 427 A Penn Manor PA LL01 (11- 8, 90.5) 6- 7 429 A Conestoga Valley PA LL02 ( 6-11, 83.0) 7- 2 501 H Manheim Township PA LL01 (20- 6, 98.9) 5- 8 505 A Hempfield PA LL01 (20- 5, 99.9) 4- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Lancaster Cou Day 8- 3 5 3 1.62 325 H Penn Manor 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.02 327 A Carlisle 4- 6 -2 -1 -0.27 331 A Manheim Township 2- 8 -6 -7 1.78 407 A Elizabethtown 8- 3 5 10 -- -5.00 409 H Lampeter-Strasburg 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.69 413 H Garden Spot 23- 1 22 26 0.00 414 H Hempfield 6- 9 -3 -7 ++ 4.38 416 A Ephrata 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.93 417 H Cocalico 13- 0 13 17 0.00 421 H Wilson West Lawn 13- 1 12 4 ++ 5.09 422 A Lancaster Cou Day 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.97 424 A Hershey 3-11 -8 -6 -1.39 425 H Easton 3- 4 -1 6 n/a 427 A Penn Manor 6- 7 -1 0 -1.56 429 A Conestoga Valley 7- 2 5 8 - -3.12 501 H Manheim Township 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.36 505 A Hempfield 4- 7 -3 -8 ++ 5.79UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Easton 3- 4 -1 6 --- 407 A Elizabethtown 8- 3 5 10 -- -5.00 422 A Lancaster Cou Day 6- 7 -1 1 - -2.97 429 A Conestoga Valley 7- 2 5 8 - -3.12OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Penn Manor 9- 2 7 1 ++ 5.02 409 H Lampeter-Strasburg 10- 4 6 1 ++ 4.69 414 H Hempfield 6- 9 -3 -7 ++ 4.38 416 A Ephrata 11- 3 8 2 ++ 5.93 421 H Wilson West Lawn 13- 1 12 4 ++ 5.09 505 A Hempfield 4- 7 -3 -8 ++ 5.79 501 H Manheim Township 5- 8 -3 -6 + 3.36/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 91.82 Local Power Rank........... 7 Local SOS Rating......... 76.53 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.58 Local RPI Rank............. 11 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 10 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.8 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -0.3