Region = PA    LL01             
   Nickname = A Warriors             Coach  =   Chris Schmehl         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.1835327    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL01    (10- 8, 89.1)     8- 3   
 325 H Penn Manor             PA    LL01    (11- 8, 90.5)     9- 2   
 327 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (18- 8, 92.8)     4- 6   
 331 A Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (20- 6, 98.9)     2- 8   
 407 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL02    ( 5-13, 80.5)     8- 3   
 409 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    (12- 6, 91.2)    10- 4   
 413 H Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 1-16, 65.9)    23- 1   
 414 H Hempfield              PA    LL01    (20- 5, 99.9)     6- 9   
 416 A Ephrata                PA    LL02    (11- 9, 89.0)    11- 3   
 417 H Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 4-15, 75.3)    13- 0   
 421 H Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (12- 7, 87.6)    13- 1   
 422 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL01    (10- 8, 89.1)     6- 7   
 424 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (22- 3, 97.7)     3-11   
 425 H Easton                 PA    LehighV (14- 7, 86.0)     3- 4   
 427 A Penn Manor             PA    LL01    (11- 8, 90.5)     6- 7   
 429 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    ( 6-11, 83.0)     7- 2   
 501 H Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (20- 6, 98.9)     5- 8   
 505 A Hempfield              PA    LL01    (20- 5, 99.9)     4- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Lancaster Cou Day       8- 3       5     3           1.62
   325 H Penn Manor              9- 2       7     1    ++     5.02
   327 A Carlisle                4- 6      -2    -1          -0.27
   331 A Manheim Township        2- 8      -6    -7           1.78
   407 A Elizabethtown           8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   409 H Lampeter-Strasburg     10- 4       6     1    ++     4.69
   413 H Garden Spot            23- 1      22    26           0.00
   414 H Hempfield               6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.38
   416 A Ephrata                11- 3       8     2    ++     5.93
   417 H Cocalico               13- 0      13    17           0.00
   421 H Wilson West Lawn       13- 1      12     4    ++     5.09
   422 A Lancaster Cou Day       6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.97
   424 A Hershey                 3-11      -8    -6          -1.39
   425 H Easton                  3- 4      -1     6          n/a  
   427 A Penn Manor              6- 7      -1     0          -1.56
   429 A Conestoga Valley        7- 2       5     8    -     -3.12
   501 H Manheim Township        5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.36
   505 A Hempfield               4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Easton                  3- 4      -1     6    ---        
   407 A Elizabethtown           8- 3       5    10    --    -5.00
   422 A Lancaster Cou Day       6- 7      -1     1    -     -2.97
   429 A Conestoga Valley        7- 2       5     8    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Penn Manor              9- 2       7     1    ++     5.02
   409 H Lampeter-Strasburg     10- 4       6     1    ++     4.69
   414 H Hempfield               6- 9      -3    -7    ++     4.38
   416 A Ephrata                11- 3       8     2    ++     5.93
   421 H Wilson West Lawn       13- 1      12     4    ++     5.09
   505 A Hempfield               4- 7      -3    -8    ++     5.79
   501 H Manheim Township        5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.82 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.53 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    3.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
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