Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Vic Guadagnino        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.1389771    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Babylon                NY C  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 80.2)    17-10   
 401 A Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 81.5)    11- 9   
 407 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     8-12   
 415 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.2)    16- 7   
 417 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 86.6)    14- 9   
 418 N New Milford            CT L          (14- 6, 90.5)    12- 7   
 421 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.1)    13- 9   
 423 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 79.2)    12- 6   
 425 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.1)     8-20   
 429 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)    16- 6   
 501 H Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 76.2)    14- 1   
 505 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 81.4)    11-12  o
 507 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-15, 69.7)    11- 2   
 509 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.2)     5- 4   
 512 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 77.8)    18- 6   
 515 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (16- 4, 93.6)     8-14   
 518 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.1)     9-10   
 521 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.1)    12- 5   
 527 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 89.0)     7-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Babylon                17-10       7     8          -1.35
   401 A Kings Park             11- 9       2     6    --    -4.59
   407 A West Islip              8-12      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   415 A Sachem North           16- 7       9     0    +++    8.12
   417 H Bay Shore              14- 9       5     2    +      2.99
   418 N New Milford            12- 7       5    -2          n/a  
   421 H Northport              13- 9       4     5          -1.47
   423 H Sachem East            12- 6       6     9    -     -3.41
   425 A East Islip              8-20     -12     1    ---  -11.01
   429 A Middle Country         16- 6      10     9           0.36
   501 H Half Hollow Hills East 14- 1      13    12           0.00
   505 A Lindenhurst            11-12  o   -1     6    ---   -7.71
   507 H Longwood               11- 2       9    18          -1.00
   509 A Smithtown East          5- 4       1     0           1.08
   512 H North Babylon          18- 6      12    10           0.00
   515 H Ward Melville           8-14      -6    -5          -0.99
   518 A West Babylon            9-10      -1     4    --    -5.06
   521 H Northport              12- 5       7     5           1.53
   527 A Walt Whitman            7-15      -8     0    ---   -7.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A East Islip              8-20     -12     1    ---  -11.01
   505 A Lindenhurst            11-12  o   -1     6    ---   -7.71
   527 A Walt Whitman            7-15      -8     0    ---   -7.14
   401 A Kings Park             11- 9       2     6    --    -4.59
   518 A West Babylon            9-10      -1     4    --    -5.06
   423 H Sachem East            12- 6       6     9    -     -3.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A West Islip              8-12      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   415 A Sachem North           16- 7       9     0    +++    8.12
   418 N New Milford            12- 7       5    -2    +++        
   417 H Bay Shore              14- 9       5     2    +      2.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.34 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.52 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/