Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.3223267    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.6)     4-10   
 401 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 75.6)     5- 2   
 403 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 69.5)    11- 2   
 406 A St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)     8- 5   
 420 A Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 82.6)     6-10   
 422 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 87.2)     3- 9   
 424 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 72.8)    13- 4   
 427 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 76.4)     8- 5   
 429 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 91.6)     8- 9  o
 501 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 79.5)     2- 7   
 505 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 6, 81.3)     8- 4   
 507 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 6, 86.6)     7- 8  o
 511 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-14, 68.7)    17- 3   
 515 A Iroquois               NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-12, 74.7)    10- 4   
 518 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 78.8)    11- 7   
 519 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 64.2)    20- 2   
 521 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 85.6)     3- 5   
 529 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 6, 81.3)    11- 7   
 602 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 91.6)     8-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Nichols                 4-10      -6     3    ---   -9.97
   401 H Lancaster               5- 2       3     8    --    -5.19
   403 A Lockport               11- 2       9    12          -1.00
   406 A St Francis              8- 5       3     2           0.17
   420 A Rush-Henrietta          6-10      -4     0          n/a  
   422 A Sweet Home              3- 9      -6    -5          -0.42
   424 H Lake Shore Central     13- 4       9    10          -1.00
   427 H Grand Island            8- 5       3     7    --    -4.43
   429 A Hamburg                 8- 9  o   -1    -9    +++    8.94
   501 A West Seneca East        2- 7      -5     2    ---   -7.11
   505 H West Seneca West        8- 4       4     2           1.45
   507 H Amherst                 7- 8  o   -1    -2           1.77
   511 A Williamsville South    17- 3      14    12           0.00
   515 A Iroquois               10- 4       6     6          -0.91
   518 H Williamsville North    11- 7       4     5          -1.02
   519 H North Tonawanda        20- 2      18    19           0.00
   521 H Clarence                3- 5      -2    -1          -0.19
   529 H West Seneca West       11- 7       4     2           1.45
   602 A Hamburg                 8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Nichols                 4-10      -6     3    ---   -9.97
   501 A West Seneca East        2- 7      -5     2    ---   -7.11
   401 H Lancaster               5- 2       3     8    --    -5.19
   427 H Grand Island            8- 5       3     7    --    -4.43
   420 A Rush-Henrietta          6-10      -4     0    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 A Hamburg                 8- 9  o   -1    -9    +++    8.94
   602 A Hamburg                 8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.94
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.73 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.67 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/