Conf =  Div I                     Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mike Hoppey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.0792007    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Sayville               NY B  Sec 11  (15- 6, 90.4)     9- 5   
 407 H Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 7-10, 81.4)     5- 8   
 408 A Garden City            NY B  Sec 8   (17- 4, 95.0)     6- 7   
 415 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-13, 76.2)    12- 1   
 417 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 78.5)    13- 1   
 418 A Yorktown               NY A  Sec 1   (18- 3, 99.9)     8- 6   
 421 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 78.4)    14- 6   
 423 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 88.2)     4- 5   
 425 A West Babylon           NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 84.1)    10- 8   
 429 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 86.6)    13- 3   
 501 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 86.0)    16- 8   
 505 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     8- 7  o
 507 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 87.2)     6- 5   
 509 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-11, 79.2)    14- 1   
 513 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 83.1)    11- 4   
 515 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  (13- 6, 88.3)    14- 8   
 518 A East Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 87.1)    10- 5   
 527 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 8, 86.6)    10- 3   
 530 H Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  (16- 3, 89.0)    10- 1   
 604 N West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (22- 1, 99.9)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Sayville                9- 5       4     3           0.59
   407 H Lindenhurst             5- 8      -3    12    ---  -13.00
   408 A Garden City             6- 7      -1    -1          n/a  
   415 A Half Hollow Hills East 12- 1      11    17           0.00
   417 A Middle Country         13- 1      12    14           0.00
   418 A Yorktown                8- 6       2    -7          n/a  
   421 H Patchogue-Medford      14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   423 H Smithtown East          4- 5      -1     5    ---   -6.62
   425 A West Babylon           10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.30
   429 A Bay Shore              13- 3      10     6    +      3.21
   501 H Connetquot             16- 8       8     7           0.21
   505 A West Islip              8- 7  o    1    -6    +++    7.55
   507 H Sachem North            6- 5       1     6    --    -5.57
   509 H Sachem East            14- 1      13    14           0.00
   513 H Northport              11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00
   515 A William Floyd          14- 8       6     5           0.99
   518 A East Islip             10- 5       5     6          -1.24
   527 H Bay Shore              10- 3       7     7          -0.25
   530 H Walt Whitman           10- 1       9     4    ++     4.16
   604 N West Islip              5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Lindenhurst             5- 8      -3    12    ---  -13.00
   423 H Smithtown East          4- 5      -1     5    ---   -6.62
   425 A West Babylon           10- 8       2     9    ---   -7.30
   507 H Sachem North            6- 5       1     6    --    -5.57
   421 H Patchogue-Medford      14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   513 H Northport              11- 4       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Yorktown                8- 6       2    -7    +++        
   505 A West Islip              8- 7  o    1    -6    +++    7.55
   530 H Walt Whitman           10- 1       9     4    ++     4.16
   429 A Bay Shore              13- 3      10     6    +      3.21
   604 N West Islip              5- 9      -4    -6    +      2.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.58 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.94 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   14.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/