Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Lancers              Coach  =   Ryan McAleavey        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.4270248    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 4, 91.5)     4- 9   
 407 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (11- 6, 87.2)     7-20   
 409 A St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 1-14, 66.2)     6- 4   
 414 A Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   (10- 5, 87.7)     7-14   
 416 H Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 9, 80.0)     1- 9   
 418 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 4, 87.6)     6-14   
 421 A Rumson-Fair Haven      NJ    Grp-I   (14- 4, 91.5)     4-14   
 423 A Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (11- 6, 87.2)    10-16   
 425 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 1-14, 66.2)    15- 3   
 428 H Red Bank Catholic      NJ    Grp-A   (10- 5, 87.7)     7-14   
 430 A Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 9, 80.0)     2- 4   
 506 H Monsignor Donovan      NJ    Grp-A   (12- 3, 87.7)     6-10   
 508 A Brick Memorial         NJ    Grp-III ( 5-12, 72.5)     5- 7   
 509 A Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-10, 74.0)     8- 4   
 512 A Toms River East        NJ    Grp-III ( 9- 7, 79.9)    11-12  o
 513 A Southern Regional      NJ    Grp-IV  ( 7- 9, 77.2)    10-12   
 518 A Wall Township          NJ    Grp-II  ( 4- 9, 73.0)    12- 9   
 519 H Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 5-15, 69.8)    12- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Rumson-Fair Haven       4- 9      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   407 H Red Bank Regional       7-20     -13   -10           0.00
   409 A St Rose Belmar          6- 4       2     8    ---   -6.34
   414 A Red Bank Catholic       7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   416 H Holmdel                 1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.62
   418 A Freehold Township       6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
   421 A Rumson-Fair Haven       4-14     -10   -16           0.00
   423 A Red Bank Regional      10-16      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   425 H St Rose Belmar         15- 3      12    10           0.00
   428 H Red Bank Catholic       7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   430 A Holmdel                 2- 4      -2    -5    +      3.43
   506 H Monsignor Donovan       6-10      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   508 A Brick Memorial          5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.07
   509 A Marlboro                8- 4       4     0    +      3.44
   512 A Toms River East        11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.42
   513 A Southern Regional      10-12      -2    -2           0.68
   518 A Wall Township          12- 9       3     1           1.46
   519 H Ocean Township         12- 5       7     6           0.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A St Rose Belmar          6- 4       2     8    ---   -6.34
   416 H Holmdel                 1- 9      -8    -3    --    -4.62
   508 A Brick Memorial          5- 7      -2     2    --    -4.07

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Monsignor Donovan       6-10      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   402 H Rumson-Fair Haven       4- 9      -5   -14    ++     5.00
   423 A Red Bank Regional      10-16      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   512 A Toms River East        11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.42
   414 A Red Bank Catholic       7-14      -7   -13    +      3.00
   418 A Freehold Township       6-14      -8   -13    +      2.00
   428 H Red Bank Catholic       7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   430 A Holmdel                 2- 4      -2    -5    +      3.43
   509 A Marlboro                8- 4       4     0    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.55 Local Power Rank...........   118
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.04 Local SOS Rank.............    83
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   124
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   143
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   146
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/