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Conf = Merrimack Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Redmen Coach = Tom CarpenitoGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 86.2014694 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 331 A Lowell MA 1 ( 3-15, 77.0) 7- 2 403 H Central Catholic MA 2 ( 7- 9, 83.4) 10- 5 407 A Andover HS MA 1 (12- 8, 90.2) 7-10 409 A Burlington MA 2 (11- 8, 86.5) 6- 8 410 H Dracut MA 2 ( 7-11, 78.1) 8- 7 413 H Saugus MA 2 ( 1-16, 65.3) 16- 3 414 H Haverhill MA 1 (12- 5, 85.9) 10-15 417 A Chelmsford MA 1 (11- 8, 87.1) 5-14 420 A Saugus MA 2 ( 1-16, 65.3) 18- 2 427 H Westford Academy MA 1 (11- 9, 84.8) 10- 9 429 A Central Catholic MA 2 ( 7- 9, 83.4) 8-10 501 H Lowell MA 1 ( 3-15, 77.0) 9-10 507 A Dracut MA 2 ( 7-11, 78.1) 12- 6 509 H Billerica MA 1 (16- 4, 95.5) 2-12 512 H Wilmington MA 2 ( 7-11, 75.4) 14- 6 514 A Haverhill MA 1 (12- 5, 85.9) 4-14 518 H Burlington MA 2 (11- 8, 86.5) 5-14 519 A Hamilton-Wenham MA 3 (12- 8, 84.2) 7- 8 2o 521 A Westford Academy MA 1 (11- 9, 84.8) 5-11PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A Lowell 7- 2 5 3 1.59 403 H Central Catholic 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.52 407 A Andover HS 7-10 -3 -9 +++ 6.85 409 A Burlington 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.13 410 H Dracut 8- 7 1 3 - -2.71 413 H Saugus 16- 3 13 16 0.00 414 H Haverhill 10-15 -5 -4 -0.90 417 A Chelmsford 5-14 -9 -6 - -2.27 420 A Saugus 18- 2 16 15 0.00 427 H Westford Academy 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.01 429 A Central Catholic 8-10 -2 -2 0.96 501 H Lowell 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.85 507 A Dracut 12- 6 6 2 + 3.73 509 H Billerica 2-12 -10 -13 0.00 512 H Wilmington 14- 6 8 6 1.61 514 A Haverhill 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.46 518 H Burlington 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.30 519 A Hamilton-Wenham 7- 8 2o -1 -3 + 2.78 521 A Westford Academy 5-11 -6 -4 -1.55UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 H Lowell 9-10 -1 4 -- -5.85 514 A Haverhill 4-14 -10 -5 -- -4.46 518 H Burlington 5-14 -9 -4 -- -4.30 410 H Dracut 8- 7 1 3 - -2.71 417 A Chelmsford 5-14 -9 -6 - -2.27OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 H Central Catholic 10- 5 5 -1 +++ 6.52 407 A Andover HS 7-10 -3 -9 +++ 6.85 409 A Burlington 6- 8 -2 -6 ++ 4.13 427 H Westford Academy 10- 9 1 -3 ++ 4.01 507 A Dracut 12- 6 6 2 + 3.73 519 A Hamilton-Wenham 7- 8 2o -1 -3 + 2.78/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 81.11 Local Power Rank........... 60 Local SOS Rating......... 61.48 Local SOS Rank............. 56 Local RPI Rating......... 0.45 Local RPI Rank............. 95 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 123 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 90 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 8-11 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -6.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3