Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Redmen               Coach  =   Tom Carpenito         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2014694    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 77.0)     7- 2   
 403 H Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 7- 9, 83.4)    10- 5   
 407 A Andover HS             MA 1          (12- 8, 90.2)     7-10   
 409 A Burlington             MA 2          (11- 8, 86.5)     6- 8   
 410 H Dracut                 MA 2          ( 7-11, 78.1)     8- 7   
 413 H Saugus                 MA 2          ( 1-16, 65.3)    16- 3   
 414 H Haverhill              MA 1          (12- 5, 85.9)    10-15   
 417 A Chelmsford             MA 1          (11- 8, 87.1)     5-14   
 420 A Saugus                 MA 2          ( 1-16, 65.3)    18- 2   
 427 H Westford Academy       MA 1          (11- 9, 84.8)    10- 9   
 429 A Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 7- 9, 83.4)     8-10   
 501 H Lowell                 MA 1          ( 3-15, 77.0)     9-10   
 507 A Dracut                 MA 2          ( 7-11, 78.1)    12- 6   
 509 H Billerica              MA 1          (16- 4, 95.5)     2-12   
 512 H Wilmington             MA 2          ( 7-11, 75.4)    14- 6   
 514 A Haverhill              MA 1          (12- 5, 85.9)     4-14   
 518 H Burlington             MA 2          (11- 8, 86.5)     5-14   
 519 A Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (12- 8, 84.2)     7- 8 2o
 521 A Westford Academy       MA 1          (11- 9, 84.8)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Lowell                  7- 2       5     3           1.59
   403 H Central Catholic       10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.52
   407 A Andover HS              7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.85
   409 A Burlington              6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.13
   410 H Dracut                  8- 7       1     3    -     -2.71
   413 H Saugus                 16- 3      13    16           0.00
   414 H Haverhill              10-15      -5    -4          -0.90
   417 A Chelmsford              5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.27
   420 A Saugus                 18- 2      16    15           0.00
   427 H Westford Academy       10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.01
   429 A Central Catholic        8-10      -2    -2           0.96
   501 H Lowell                  9-10      -1     4    --    -5.85
   507 A Dracut                 12- 6       6     2    +      3.73
   509 H Billerica               2-12     -10   -13           0.00
   512 H Wilmington             14- 6       8     6           1.61
   514 A Haverhill               4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.46
   518 H Burlington              5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.30
   519 A Hamilton-Wenham         7- 8 2o   -1    -3    +      2.78
   521 A Westford Academy        5-11      -6    -4          -1.55

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Lowell                  9-10      -1     4    --    -5.85
   514 A Haverhill               4-14     -10    -5    --    -4.46
   518 H Burlington              5-14      -9    -4    --    -4.30
   410 H Dracut                  8- 7       1     3    -     -2.71
   417 A Chelmsford              5-14      -9    -6    -     -2.27

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Central Catholic       10- 5       5    -1    +++    6.52
   407 A Andover HS              7-10      -3    -9    +++    6.85
   409 A Burlington              6- 8      -2    -6    ++     4.13
   427 H Westford Academy       10- 9       1    -3    ++     4.01
   507 A Dracut                 12- 6       6     2    +      3.73
   519 A Hamilton-Wenham         7- 8 2o   -1    -3    +      2.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.11 Local Power Rank...........    60
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.48 Local SOS Rank.............    56
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    95
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   123
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    90
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/