Tucson Tanque Verde           3 - 8


 
                                     Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Sabercats            Coach  =   Randy Hynda           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.3318863    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H Chandler               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 7, 87.3)     5-13   
 314 H Hamilton               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-10, 76.6)    17- 6   
 318 H Gilbert I              AZ 1  Div-1   ( 3- 9, 82.7)    17- 6   
 321 A Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   (14- 1, 99.9)     6-15   
 328 A Saguaro                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 5, 88.2)     9-16   
 404 H Desert Mountain        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 4, 89.8)     8- 9  o
 416 A Highland-East Valley   AZ 1  Div-1   ( 0-11, 74.6)    15- 8   
 418 H Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (14- 5, 93.9)     7-14   
 425 A Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 8, 85.6)     9-10   
 429 A Mountain Pointe        AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 7, 86.9)     6-11   
 502 H Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 9- 5, 91.3)     2-12   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Chandler                5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.84
   314 H Hamilton               17- 6      11     7    +      2.39
   318 H Gilbert I              17- 6      11     1    +++    8.53
   321 A Chaparral               6-15      -9   -16           1.00
   328 A Saguaro                 9-16      -7    -5          -1.70
   404 H Desert Mountain         8- 9  o   -1    -5    ++     4.61
   416 A Highland-East Valley   15- 8       7     8          -1.39
   418 H Brophy Prep             7-14      -7    -9    +      2.70
   425 A Desert Vista            9-10      -1    -2           1.65
   429 A Mountain Pointe         6-11      -5    -3          -1.02
   502 H Corona del Sol          2-12     -10    -7    -     -2.85


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Chandler                5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.84
   502 H Corona del Sol          2-12     -10    -7    -     -2.85


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Gilbert I              17- 6      11     1    +++    8.53
   404 H Desert Mountain         8- 9  o   -1    -5    ++     4.61
   314 H Hamilton               17- 6      11     7    +      2.39
   418 H Brophy Prep             7-14      -7    -9    +      2.70




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.55 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.39 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3


  
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