Region = VA 3  Indep            
   Nickname = A Tempest              Coach  =   Scott Niklason        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.8724289    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 A Fredericksburg Academy VA 3  Delaney ( 3- 7, 83.5)    14- 4   
 317 A Georgetown Day         DC    MAC     ( 6- 8, 83.4)    11- 9   
 325 A Briar Woods            VA    Dulles  ( 7- 9, 90.8)     6-19   
 328 A Wakefield School       VA 3  Delaney ( 2-10, 85.5)     8- 7  o
 331 A St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     ( 4- 8, 84.0)     7- 6   
 403 A George Mason           VA    Dulles  (13- 3, 97.5)     3-16   
 404 N Shenandoah County LC   VA    Indep   ( 2- 9, 79.3)     8- 1   
 404 N Seton School           VA 3  Delaney ( 4- 6, 90.4)     7- 6   
 407 A Seton School           VA 3  Delaney ( 4- 6, 90.4)     6-10   
 513 N Blue Ridge School      VA 3  CavAC   ( 5- 8, 87.3)     8- 6   
 516 N Roanoke Catholic       VA 3  VIC     (11- 4, 99.9)    12-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Fredericksburg Academy 14- 4      10     8           1.53
   317 A Georgetown Day         11- 9       2     7          n/a  
   325 A Briar Woods             6-19     -13     0          n/a  
   328 A Wakefield School        8- 7  o    1     6    --    -5.45
   331 A St Andrews Episcopal    7- 6       1     6          n/a  
   403 A George Mason            3-16     -13    -5          n/a  
   404 N Shenandoah County LC    8- 1       7    12          n/a  
   404 N Seton School            7- 6       1     1          -0.69
   407 A Seton School            6-10      -4     1    --    -5.62
   513 N Blue Ridge School       8- 6       2     4    -     -2.73
   516 N Roanoke Catholic       12-13      -1    -7    +++    6.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Briar Woods             6-19     -13     0    ---        
   317 A Georgetown Day         11- 9       2     7    --         
   328 A Wakefield School        8- 7  o    1     6    --    -5.45
   331 A St Andrews Episcopal    7- 6       1     6    --         
   403 A George Mason            3-16     -13    -5    --         
   407 A Seton School            6-10      -4     1    --    -5.62
   404 N Shenandoah County LC    8- 1       7    12    -          
   513 N Blue Ridge School       8- 6       2     4    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 N Roanoke Catholic       12-13      -1    -7    +++    6.84
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.06 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.03 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   13.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating. 80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/