Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   Mike Burke            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8934860    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 6, 86.6)     7-11   
 403 H Erie-McDowell          PA    Div2-S2 ( 5-12, 79.2)    11- 1   
 421 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.2)    14- 2   
 423 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.8)     4- 3   
 425 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 7, 87.9)     3- 8   
 427 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.6)     8- 6   
 429 H St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)    16- 1   
 502 H North Allegheny        PA    Div1-S2 (18- 4, 99.9)    11- 6   
 504 A Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 86.4)    14- 6   
 506 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.8)    10- 6   
 507 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.6)     7- 6   
 509 H Kiski Prep             PA    Indep   (16- 4, 99.4)     9- 7   
 512 A St Francis             NY P  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)     8- 7   
 514 A West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   (10- 6, 81.3)    16- 2   
 516 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     3-18   
 518 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.2)    10- 0   
 522 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.6)     3- 1   
 523 N Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.8)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Amherst                 7-11      -4     1    --    -5.52
   403 H Erie-McDowell          11- 1      10    11          n/a  
   421 H St Joseph Collegiate   14- 2      12    17           0.00
   423 A Canisius                4- 3       1     0           0.66
   425 A Frontier                3- 8      -5     0    --    -5.24
   427 H Nichols                 8- 6       2    12    ---   -8.00
   429 H St Francis             16- 1      15    11           0.00
   502 H North Allegheny        11- 6       5    -9          n/a  
   504 A Niagara Wheatfield     14- 6       8     1    +++    6.29
   506 H Canisius               10- 6       4     2           1.44
   507 A Nichols                 7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   509 H Kiski Prep              9- 7       2    -9          n/a  
   512 A St Francis              8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.34
   514 A West Seneca West       16- 2      14     6    +      3.16
   516 A Orchard Park            3-18     -15   -11           0.00
   518 A St Joseph Collegiate   10- 0      10    14           0.00
   522 A Nichols                 3- 1       2    10    ---   -8.00
   523 N Canisius                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Nichols                 8- 6       2    12    ---   -8.00
   507 A Nichols                 7- 6       1    10    ---   -9.00
   512 A St Francis              8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.34
   522 A Nichols                 3- 1       2    10    ---   -8.00
   401 A Amherst                 7-11      -4     1    --    -5.52
   425 A Frontier                3- 8      -5     0    --    -5.24
   523 N Canisius                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H North Allegheny        11- 6       5    -9    +++        
   504 A Niagara Wheatfield     14- 6       8     1    +++    6.29
   509 H Kiski Prep              9- 7       2    -9    +++        
   514 A West Seneca West       16- 2      14     6    +      3.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.24 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.82 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/