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Conf = CentMass Region = MA 2 Nickname = A Colonials Coach = Nate SkermontGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 92.6751099 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 402 H Grafton MA 2 (16- 5, 92.3) 4- 7 404 H Tantasqua Regional MA 2 ( 5-15, 76.6) 14- 1 407 H Wachusett MA 2 ( 6-13, 84.9) 10- 8 409 A Westborough MA 2 ( 5-11, 83.8) 11- 3 414 H Algonquin MA 2 (19- 3, 98.8) 7-11 416 H North Middlesex MA 2 (10-10, 87.3) 10- 6 418 H St Peter Marian MA 2 (13- 5, 95.0) 11- 6 421 A Acton Boxborough MA 1 (11- 9, 86.1) 3-13 425 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (19- 4, 99.9) 6-17 430 A Groton-Dunstable MA 2 ( 5-11, 85.4) 8- 7 o 505 A Wachusett MA 2 ( 6-13, 84.9) 13- 5 507 H Westborough MA 2 ( 5-11, 83.8) 5- 6 509 A Nipmuc Regional MA 2 (10- 8, 83.0) 9- 8 o 512 A Algonquin MA 2 (19- 3, 98.8) 1-12 514 A North Middlesex MA 2 (10-10, 87.3) 8- 9 516 A Northbridge MA 2 (16- 5, 91.8) 12- 9 518 A Shepherd Hill MA 2 ( 2-14, 74.0) 14- 0 519 H Groton-Dunstable MA 2 ( 5-11, 85.4) 8- 7 527 H Assabet Valley RVT MA 2 (14- 5, 74.5) 15- 1 530 A St Johns Shrewsbury MA 2 (19- 4, 99.9) 9-13PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Grafton 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.29 404 H Tantasqua Regional 14- 1 13 15 0.00 407 H Wachusett 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.66 409 A Westborough 11- 3 8 5 + 2.10 414 H Algonquin 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.22 416 H North Middlesex 10- 6 4 4 -0.32 418 H St Peter Marian 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.45 421 A Acton Boxborough 3-13 -10 3 n/a 425 A St Johns Shrewsbury 6-17 -11 -10 0.00 430 A Groton-Dunstable 8- 7 o 1 4 - -3.25 505 A Wachusett 13- 5 8 4 + 3.22 507 H Westborough 5- 6 -1 7 --- -8.78 509 A Nipmuc Regional 9- 8 o 1 6 -- -5.69 512 A Algonquin 1-12 -11 -9 -0.90 514 A North Middlesex 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.45 516 A Northbridge 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 5.08 518 A Shepherd Hill 14- 0 14 15 0.00 519 H Groton-Dunstable 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.13 527 H Assabet Valley RVT 15- 1 14 16 n/a 530 A St Johns Shrewsbury 9-13 -4 -10 +++ 6.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 421 A Acton Boxborough 3-13 -10 3 --- 507 H Westborough 5- 6 -1 7 --- -8.78 407 H Wachusett 10- 8 2 6 -- -4.66 509 A Nipmuc Regional 9- 8 o 1 6 -- -5.69 519 H Groton-Dunstable 8- 7 1 6 -- -5.13 402 H Grafton 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.29 430 A Groton-Dunstable 8- 7 o 1 4 - -3.25 514 A North Middlesex 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.45OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H St Peter Marian 11- 6 5 -3 +++ 8.45 530 A St Johns Shrewsbury 9-13 -4 -10 +++ 6.00 516 A Northbridge 12- 9 3 -2 ++ 5.08 409 A Westborough 11- 3 8 5 + 2.10 414 H Algonquin 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.22 505 A Wachusett 13- 5 8 4 + 3.22/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 90.64 Local Power Rank........... 8 Local SOS Rating......... 73.03 Local SOS Rank............. 7 Local RPI Rating......... 0.57 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 3.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.110.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 7 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.7 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -3.6 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7