Region = NY C  Sec 2            
   Nickname = Y Black Horses         Coach  =   Bill Battaglia        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.0064697    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 A Lansingburgh           NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-13, 60.2)    10- 4   
 404 A Amsterdam              NY B  Sec 2   ( 8-11, 70.3)     5- 6  o
 407 H Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 73.3)     2-10   
 409 A South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 76.6)     7-16   
 415 A Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   (11- 8, 76.1)     7- 8   
 421 H Greenwich Central      NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 66.7)     8- 9   
 423 A Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 56.3)    14- 3   
 425 H Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (15- 6, 80.3)     4- 9   
 427 A Albany Academy         NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 8, 78.3)     7-16   
 501 A Glens Falls            NY B  Sec 2   ( 8-10, 73.3)     2- 8   
 505 H South Glens Falls      NY B  Sec 2   ( 9- 9, 76.6)     5-10   
 507 H Lansingburgh           NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-13, 60.2)     7- 0   
 508 H Scotia-Glenville       NY B  Sec 2   (11- 8, 76.1)    10-15   
 512 A Greenwich Central      NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 66.7)     8- 7  o
 513 H Johnstown              NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-17, 56.3)     6- 5   
 519 A Queensbury             NY B  Sec 2   (15- 6, 80.3)     3-10   
 529 H Lansingburgh           NY C  Sec 2   ( 0-13, 60.2)     9- 5   
 602 N Greenwich Central      NY C  Sec 2   ( 5-13, 66.7)    10- 6   
 606 N Red Hook               NY C  Sec 9   (13- 6, 87.7)    17- 9   
 609 N Putnam Valley          NY C  Sec 1   (15- 5, 91.7)     4-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 A Lansingburgh           10- 4       6     8    -     -2.99
   404 A Amsterdam               5- 6  o   -1    -1           0.15
   407 H Glens Falls             2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.17
   409 A South Glens Falls       7-16      -9    -7          -1.52
   415 A Scotia-Glenville        7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.97
   421 H Greenwich Central       8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.80
   423 A Johnstown              14- 3      11    12           0.00
   425 H Queensbury              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.89
   427 A Albany Academy          7-16      -9    -9           0.10
   501 A Glens Falls             2- 8      -6    -4          -1.87
   505 H South Glens Falls       5-10      -5    -6           1.18
   507 H Lansingburgh            7- 0       7    10    -     -3.00
   508 H Scotia-Glenville       10-15      -5    -5           0.67
   512 A Greenwich Central       8- 7  o    1     2          -1.51
   513 H Johnstown               6- 5       1    14    ---   -9.00
   519 A Queensbury              3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
   529 H Lansingburgh            9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   602 N Greenwich Central      10- 6       4     3           0.84
   606 N Red Hook               17- 9       8   -17          n/a  
   609 N Putnam Valley           4-16     -12   -21          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   513 H Johnstown               6- 5       1    14    ---   -9.00
   529 H Lansingburgh            9- 5       4    10    ---   -6.00
   407 H Glens Falls             2-10      -8    -2    --    -5.17
   421 H Greenwich Central       8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.80
   402 A Lansingburgh           10- 4       6     8    -     -2.99
   507 H Lansingburgh            7- 0       7    10    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   606 N Red Hook               17- 9       8   -17    +++        
   415 A Scotia-Glenville        7- 8      -1    -6    ++     5.97
   425 H Queensbury              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.89
   519 A Queensbury              3-10      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 69.81 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.03 Local SOS Rank.............    23
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/