Region = PA    ChesMon          
   Nickname = A Vanguards            Coach  =   Kyle Garzia           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.6741638    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Downingtown East       PA    ChesMon (20- 4, 96.8)     7-14   
 326 H Great Valley           PA    ChesMon ( 6-11, 81.7)    13- 8   
 328 H ArchBishop Carroll     PA    Cath-So ( 7-10, 78.3)     8- 7   
 330 A Harriton               PA    Centrl  ( 4-14, 78.0)    12- 6   
 401 H Monsignor Bonner       PA    Cath-So ( 3-10, 70.2)    18- 2   
 403 N Bishop Shanahan        PA    ChesMon ( 7-12, 82.0)    15- 7   
 404 H Archbishop Ryan        PA    Cath-No ( 7-10, 79.2)    12- 6   
 407 A Archbishop Wood        PA    Cath-No (11- 6, 89.8)     5-14   
 408 H Garnet Valley          PA    Centrl  (14- 9, 91.0)     3- 8   
 416 H Avon Grove             PA    ChesMon ( 9- 8, 86.5)    14- 9   
 421 A Cardinal O'Hara        PA    Cath-So ( 4-15, 74.7)    11- 6   
 423 A West Chester Henderson PA    ChesMon ( 9- 8, 87.7)    17-12   
 427 H Kennett Square         PA    ChesMon ( 6-12, 78.6)    14- 8   
 428 H West Chester Rustin    PA    ChesMon ( 5-13, 78.6)    15- 6   
 430 A West Chester East      PA    ChesMon (16- 6, 92.2)     8-13   
 505 H Unionville             PA    ChesMon (12- 5, 92.1)    14-15   
 507 A Downingtown West       PA    ChesMon (12- 8, 88.3)     9-19   
 512 A Pennsbury              PA    SubNat  (12- 8, 87.2)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Downingtown East        7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   326 H Great Valley           13- 8       5     6          -1.31
   328 H ArchBishop Carroll      8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.73
   330 A Harriton               12- 6       6     8    -     -2.18
   401 H Monsignor Bonner       18- 2      16    17           0.00
   403 N Bishop Shanahan        15- 7       8     5    +      2.92
   404 H Archbishop Ryan        12- 6       6     8    -     -2.78
   407 A Archbishop Wood         5-14      -9    -3    --    -5.33
   408 H Garnet Valley           3- 8      -5    -3          -1.97
   416 H Avon Grove             14- 9       5     1    +      3.50
   421 A Cardinal O'Hara        11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   423 A West Chester Henderson 17-12       5    -1    +++    6.60
   427 H Kennett Square         14- 8       6     9    -     -3.35
   428 H West Chester Rustin    15- 6       9     9          -0.36
   430 A West Chester East       8-13      -5    -6           1.04
   505 H Unionville             14-15      -1    -4    +      3.14
   507 A Downingtown West        9-19     -10    -2    ---   -7.85
   512 A Pennsbury              10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H ArchBishop Carroll      8- 7       1     9    ---   -8.73
   507 A Downingtown West        9-19     -10    -2    ---   -7.85
   407 A Archbishop Wood         5-14      -9    -3    --    -5.33
   421 A Cardinal O'Hara        11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   330 A Harriton               12- 6       6     8    -     -2.18
   404 H Archbishop Ryan        12- 6       6     8    -     -2.78
   427 H Kennett Square         14- 8       6     9    -     -3.35
   512 A Pennsbury              10-15      -5    -1    -     -3.89

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A West Chester Henderson 17-12       5    -1    +++    6.60
   320 A Downingtown East        7-14      -7   -10    +      3.00
   403 N Bishop Shanahan        15- 7       8     5    +      2.92
   416 H Avon Grove             14- 9       5     1    +      3.50
   505 H Unionville             14-15      -1    -4    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.06 Local Power Rank...........    25
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.61 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    68
 Local Quality Win Rating.-55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/