Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Tom Tsagarakis        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.1407623    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 8- 9, 72.5)     6- 5   
 414 H East Lyme              CT M          (18- 3, 91.7)     3-17   
 416 A Bacon Academy          CT M          ( 7-10, 69.7)    14- 6   
 423 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 8- 9, 72.1)     6- 3   
 425 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 5-11, 69.1)    12- 5   
 428 H Bacon Academy          CT M          ( 7-10, 69.7)    10- 5   
 430 A Waterford              CT S          ( 9- 8, 74.0)     7- 4   
 501 H Old Lyme               CT S          ( 5-10, 73.8)    12-14   
 506 A Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 6-10, 66.4)    14- 1   
 509 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 9- 9, 81.3)     6-15   
 511 H Hall-West Hartford     CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.5)     5-10   
 514 H Fitch-Groton           CT M          ( 6-10, 71.7)    12- 5   
 516 H Waterford              CT S          ( 9- 8, 74.0)     4- 7   
 519 H Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 8- 9, 72.1)    11- 5   
 522 A Morgan-Clinton         CT S          (13- 5, 81.6)     7-14   
 526 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 6-10, 66.4)    11- 1   
 527 A Ledyard                CT S          (14- 6, 83.5)    10-20   
 606 H Weston                 CT S          (13- 9, 88.5)     6-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Old Saybrook            6- 5       1     2          -1.67
   414 H East Lyme               3-17     -14   -14           0.00
   416 A Bacon Academy          14- 6       8     5    +      2.48
   423 A Saint Bernard           6- 3       3     3          -0.15
   425 A Woodstock Academy      12- 5       7     6           0.90
   428 H Bacon Academy          10- 5       5     7    -     -2.50
   430 A Waterford               7- 4       3     1           1.82
   501 H Old Lyme               12-14      -2     3    --    -5.37
   506 A Wheeler-No Stonington  14- 1      13     8           1.23
   509 A Norwich Free Academy    6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.90
   511 H Hall-West Hartford      5-10      -5    -4          -0.68
   514 H Fitch-Groton           12- 5       7     5           1.49
   516 H Waterford               4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.17
   519 H Saint Bernard          11- 5       6     5           0.86
   522 A Morgan-Clinton          7-14      -7    -6          -0.65
   526 H Wheeler-No Stonington  11- 1      10    10           0.00
   527 A Ledyard                10-20     -10    -8          -1.69
   606 H Weston                  6-19     -13   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H Waterford               4- 7      -3     3    ---   -6.17
   501 H Old Lyme               12-14      -2     3    --    -5.37
   428 H Bacon Academy          10- 5       5     7    -     -2.50
   509 A Norwich Free Academy    6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.90

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A Bacon Academy          14- 6       8     5    +      2.48
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.20 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.45 Local SOS Rank.............    65
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    64
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.3
/