Conf =  GMC                       Region = NJ    Grp-A            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Marc Moreau           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.4627075    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Pingry                 NJ    Grp-B   (11- 5, 90.2)    16- 9   
 403 A North Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 8, 80.7)    18- 6   
 406 H Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  (16- 7, 94.0)     8- 7   
 407 H South Brunswick        NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6- 8, 79.9)    15- 4   
 409 A Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 6, 81.6)    17- 4   
 414 H Monroe Township        NJ    Grp-III ( 5-11, 67.1)    20- 1   
 416 A East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6- 8, 79.3)     7- 9   
 418 A Bergen Catholic        NJ    Grp-A   (14- 7, 93.3)     9- 7   
 421 H Cherokee               NJ    Grp-IV  (17- 2, 95.3)    11-12  o
 423 A Edison                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 3-10, 65.1)    28- 2   
 425 A Seton Hall Prep        NJ    Grp-A   (11- 6, 91.6)     9- 6   
 427 A A.L.Johnson-Clark      NJ    Grp-I   (12- 7, 90.9)     4- 5   
 430 A Hillsborough           NJ    Grp-IV  (10-10, 87.9)     9- 5   
 502 H Immaculata             NJ    Grp-B   (14- 8, 93.7)     7-10   
 505 A J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 0-15, 58.7)    18- 1   
 509 H Northern Burlington    NJ    Grp-II  (10- 5, 84.2)    14- 1   
 511 H J.P. Stevens           NJ    Grp-IV  ( 0-15, 58.7)    18- 0   
 513 H East Brunswick         NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6- 8, 79.3)    17- 5   
 515 N Old Bridge             NJ    Grp-IV  (11- 6, 81.6)    14- 0   
 522 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (15- 3, 91.7)    10- 2   
 526 A St Augustine Prep      NJ    Grp-A   (17- 4, 92.0)    10- 6   
 529 N Delbarton              NJ    Grp-A   (19- 3, 99.2)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Pingry                 16- 9       7     2    ++     4.46
   403 A North Brunswick        18- 6      12    12           0.00
   406 H Bridgewater-Raritan     8- 7       1     0           0.21
   407 H South Brunswick        15- 4      11    14           0.00
   409 A Old Bridge             17- 4      13    11           0.00
   414 H Monroe Township        20- 1      19    27           0.00
   416 A East Brunswick          7- 9      -2    13    ---  -12.00
   418 A Bergen Catholic         9- 7       2     0    +      2.53
   421 H Cherokee               11-12  o   -1     0          -0.53
   423 A Edison                 28- 2      26    27           0.00
   425 A Seton Hall Prep         9- 6       3     1           1.84
   427 A A.L.Johnson-Clark       4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.93
   430 A Hillsborough            9- 5       4     4          -0.93
   502 H Immaculata              7-10      -3     1    --    -4.16
   505 A J.P. Stevens           18- 1      17    34           0.00
   509 H Northern Burlington    14- 1      13    10           0.00
   511 H J.P. Stevens           18- 0      18    36           0.00
   513 H East Brunswick         17- 5      12    15           0.00
   515 N Old Bridge             14- 0      14    12           0.00
   522 H Christian Bros         10- 2       8     3    ++     4.83
   526 A St Augustine Prep      10- 6       4     0    +      3.22
   529 N Delbarton               5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.41

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 A East Brunswick          7- 9      -2    13    ---  -12.00
   502 H Immaculata              7-10      -3     1    --    -4.16
   427 A A.L.Johnson-Clark       4- 5      -1     1    -     -2.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Pingry                 16- 9       7     2    ++     4.46
   522 H Christian Bros         10- 2       8     3    ++     4.83
   529 N Delbarton               5- 6      -1    -5    ++     4.41
   418 A Bergen Catholic         9- 7       2     0    +      2.53
   526 A St Augustine Prep      10- 6       4     0    +      3.22
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.81 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.84 Local SOS Rank.............    41
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 17- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/