Region = NY P  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Kiel Illg             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.8141327    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A McQuaid Jesuit         NY B  Sec 5   ( 9-11, 84.7)     5- 6   
 328 A Aquinas Institute      NY C  Sec 5   (16- 4, 91.8)     3-10   
 331 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 91.6)     3- 5   
 406 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 8, 82.7)     5- 8   
 421 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.6)    15- 6   
 423 H St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.2)     9- 5   
 425 A Cathedral Prep         PA    Div2-S2 ( 8-10, 84.0)     8- 3   
 429 A Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.2)     1-16   
 501 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.8)     5- 8   
 504 H Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.6)     7- 8  o
 506 A St Joseph Collegiate   NY P  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 73.2)     6- 3   
 508 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 79.5)     4- 7   
 512 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.2)     7- 8   
 514 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.8)    10-15   
 516 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 64.2)    16- 2   
 518 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 69.5)    11- 4   
 522 N Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.8)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A McQuaid Jesuit          5- 6      -1    -6          n/a  
   328 A Aquinas Institute       3-10      -7   -13          n/a  
   331 H Hamburg                 3- 5      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   406 H Williamsville East      5- 8      -3    -2          -0.17
   421 A Nichols                15- 6       9     0    +++    8.96
   423 H St Joseph Collegiate    9- 5       4     6    -     -2.74
   425 A Cathedral Prep          8- 3       5    -6          n/a  
   429 A Timon St Jude           1-16     -15   -11           0.00
   501 A Canisius                5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   504 H Nichols                 7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.26
   506 A St Joseph Collegiate    6- 3       3     4          -1.52
   508 H West Seneca East        4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.40
   512 H Timon St Jude           7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.34
   514 H Canisius               10-15      -5    -7    +      2.89
   516 H North Tonawanda        16- 2      14    15           0.00
   518 A Lockport               11- 4       7     8          -1.19
   522 N Canisius                4-17     -13    -8          -1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H St Joseph Collegiate    9- 5       4     6    -     -2.74
   504 H Nichols                 7- 8  o   -1     2    -     -3.26
   508 H West Seneca East        4- 7      -3     0    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 H Hamburg                 3- 5      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   421 A Nichols                15- 6       9     0    +++    8.96
   425 A Cathedral Prep          8- 3       5    -6    +++        
   501 A Canisius                5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   512 H Timon St Jude           7- 8      -1    -9    +++    8.34
   327 A McQuaid Jesuit          5- 6      -1    -6    ++         
   328 A Aquinas Institute       3-10      -7   -13    +          
   514 H Canisius               10-15      -5    -7    +      2.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.79 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.67 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/