Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Gaels                Coach  =   Scott Smith           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   79.7320328    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Amity Regional         CT L          (14- 6, 91.1)     1-11   
 411 A Stamford               CT L          ( 6-11, 77.8)     4- 5   
 414 A Cheshire HS            CT L          (14- 6, 93.1)     2-16   
 416 H Branford               CT M          ( 7-11, 80.6)     4-11   
 421 A Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 89.6)     2-16   
 423 A North Haven            CT M          ( 6-10, 72.0)     5- 7   
 425 A Masuk-Monroe           CT M          ( 8-10, 76.6)     4-10   
 430 H West Haven             CT L          ( 3-13, 62.9)    18- 2   
 502 A Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT M          ( 9- 9, 86.2)     4-11   
 505 A Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          ( 9- 8, 78.4)     9- 8  o
 507 H Wilbur Cross           CT L          ( 2-14, 63.5)     8- 2   
 514 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          ( 9- 9, 85.1)     4-17   
 516 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 3-13, 70.6)    10- 5   
 518 H Xavier                 CT L          (14- 5, 90.1)     5-14   
 520 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 5-11, 74.0)     2-10   
 526 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 6, 96.3)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Amity Regional          1-11     -10   -16           0.00
   411 A Stamford                4- 5      -1    -5    ++     4.31
   414 A Cheshire HS             2-16     -14   -20           0.00
   416 H Branford                4-11      -7    -6          -0.88
   421 A Guilford                2-16     -14   -17           0.00
   423 A North Haven             5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.59
   425 A Masuk-Monroe            4-10      -6    -4          -1.98
   430 H West Haven             18- 2      16    11           0.00
   502 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   505 A Notre Dame-West Haven   9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.89
   507 H Wilbur Cross            8- 2       6    10    --    -4.00
   514 H Daniel Hand-Madison     4-17     -13   -10           0.00
   516 H Notre Dame-Fairfield   10- 5       5     3           1.10
   518 H Xavier                  5-14      -9   -15           1.00
   520 A Hamden                  2-10      -8    -1    ---   -6.56
   526 A Fairfield Prep          3-16     -13   -23           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Hamden                  2-10      -8    -1    ---   -6.56
   507 H Wilbur Cross            8- 2       6    10    --    -4.00
   423 A North Haven             5- 7      -2     0    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Notre Dame-West Haven   9- 8  o    1    -5    +++    6.89
   411 A Stamford                4- 5      -1    -5    ++     4.31
   502 A Fairfield-Ludlowe       4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 73.53 Local Power Rank...........    55
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.78 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    59
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    60
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -13.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.0
/