South County                  3 - 8


 
                                     Region = VA    Patriot          
   Nickname = A Stallions            Coach  =   Ken Carrington        



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.4521332    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 318 H Robert E Lee           VA    Patriot ( 6- 6, 80.3)     7- 8  o
 325 A Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (11- 7, 93.5)     8-11   
 331 H Osbourn                VA    Cedar   ( 6- 8, 85.1)     6- 8   
 413 A St Albans              DC    IAC     (15- 7, 93.4)     3-16   
 417 A Annandale              VA    Patriot (12- 4, 89.5)     8-16   
 423 H T.C. Williams          VA    Patriot ( 2-11, 71.1)    11- 1   
 425 A Hayfield               VA    Patriot ( 7- 7, 80.4)    15- 6   
 427 H West Springfield       VA    Patriot (14- 4, 93.1)     9-11   
 429 A West Potomac           VA    Patriot ( 0-12, 66.5)    17- 2   
 430 A Lake Braddock          VA    Patriot ( 7- 5, 85.6)     5- 8   
 501 H Hayfield               VA    Patriot ( 7- 7, 80.4)     7-11   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Robert E Lee            7- 8  o   -1     0          -1.69
   325 A Dominion HS             8-11      -3   -14          n/a  
   331 H Osbourn                 6- 8      -2    -4          n/a  
   413 A St Albans               3-16     -13   -13          n/a  
   417 A Annandale               8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
   423 H T.C. Williams          11- 1      10     9           0.10
   425 A Hayfield               15- 6       9    -1    +++   10.02
   427 H West Springfield        9-11      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   429 A West Potomac           17- 2      15    12           0.00
   430 A Lake Braddock           5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.27
   501 H Hayfield                7-11      -4     0    --    -4.65


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Hayfield                7-11      -4     0    --    -4.65


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Dominion HS             8-11      -3   -14    +++        
   425 A Hayfield               15- 6       9    -1    +++   10.02
   427 H West Springfield        9-11      -2   -12    +++    8.00
   331 H Osbourn                 6- 8      -2    -4    +          
   417 A Annandale               8-16      -8   -10    +      2.00
   430 A Lake Braddock           5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.27




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.20 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.03 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7


  
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