Region = NY C  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Mustangs             Coach  =   Brian Hobart          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.1386490    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   (11- 8, 89.6)     9- 3   
 409 A Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (22- 2, 99.1)     5-15   
 414 A Carthage               NY B  Sec 3   (17- 4, 89.5)    12- 4   
 415 A Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   ( 6-13, 74.1)    21- 1   
 418 H Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 98.8)     6- 5   
 421 H Mynderse Academy       NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 71.5)    18- 0   
 423 H Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (12- 9, 87.8)    12- 2   
 425 A Midlakes               NY C  Sec 5   (12- 8, 80.8)    17- 0   
 430 H Newark                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 71.1)    20- 1   
 502 A Bloomfield-Honeoye     NY C  Sec 5   ( 4-12, 72.9)    20- 5   
 505 H Waterloo               NY C  Sec 5   ( 6-13, 74.1)    15- 1   
 507 A Palmyra-Macedon        NY C  Sec 5   (13- 7, 80.4)    17- 1   
 509 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (18- 3, 91.6)    11-10  o
 512 H Canandaigua            NY B  Sec 5   (22- 2, 99.1)    11-12  o
 514 H Marcus Whitman         NY C  Sec 5   ( 0-19, 64.1)    20- 1   
 516 A Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (12- 9, 87.8)    12- 6   
 521 A Newark                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-15, 71.1)    20- 0   
 523 H Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 6, 86.6)     9- 1   
 529 H Batavia                NY C  Sec 5   ( 7-11, 74.1)    20- 1   
 602 N Geneva                 NY C  Sec 5   (12- 9, 87.8)     9- 7   
 605 N Livonia                NY C  Sec 5   (14- 7, 86.7)    10- 7   
 609 N Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 73.7)    17- 6   
 611 N Lafayette              NY C  Sec 3   (23- 1, 99.9)     6-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Webster Schroeder       9- 3       6     7          -1.66
   409 A Canandaigua             5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.36
   414 A Carthage               12- 4       8     5          n/a  
   415 A Waterloo               21- 1      20    21           0.00
   418 H Fairport                6- 5       1    -1    +      2.55
   421 H Mynderse Academy       18- 0      18    25           0.00
   423 H Geneva                 12- 2      10     9           0.59
   425 A Midlakes               17- 0      17    14           0.00
   430 H Newark                 20- 1      19    26           0.00
   502 A Bloomfield-Honeoye     20- 5      15    22           0.00
   505 H Waterloo               15- 1      14    23           0.00
   507 A Palmyra-Macedon        17- 1      16    15           0.00
   509 A Hamburg                11-10  o    1     3          n/a  
   512 H Canandaigua            11-12  o   -1    -1           0.83
   514 H Marcus Whitman         20- 1      19    33           0.00
   516 A Geneva                 12- 6       6     7          -1.60
   521 A Newark                 20- 0      20    24           0.00
   523 H Amherst                 9- 1       8    10          n/a  
   529 H Batavia                20- 1      19    23           0.00
   602 N Geneva                  9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.51
   605 N Livonia                10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.70
   609 N Silver Creek           17- 6      11    22          n/a  
   611 N Lafayette               6-10      -4    -3          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Canandaigua             5-15     -10    -3    ---   -6.36
   602 N Geneva                  9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.51
   605 N Livonia                10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.70
   509 A Hamburg                11-10  o    1     3    -          
   523 H Amherst                 9- 1       8    10    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Carthage               12- 4       8     5    +          
   418 H Fairport                6- 5       1    -1    +      2.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.35 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.89 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    8.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.160.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 20- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/