Region = NY A  Sec 5            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   Mark Rice             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6490326    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Irondequoit            NY B  Sec 5   (14- 5, 93.6)     6-11   
 402 H Webster Thomas         NY A  Sec 5   (18- 2, 99.9)    13-17   
 411 A Victor                 NY B  Sec 5   ( 4-13, 79.0)     9- 4   
 414 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     NY B  Sec 5   ( 5-12, 79.9)    13- 7   
 416 H Loyola Academy         IL A  CenSub  (14-10, 92.1)     4- 7   
 418 H Binghamton             NY A  Sec 4   (11- 9, 88.2)    12-13   
 421 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     2-14   
 423 A Hilton                 NY A  Sec 5   (10- 8, 86.8)     8- 7   
 425 A West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   ( 8- 9, 79.5)    13- 9   
 428 A Churchville-Chili      NY A  Sec 5   ( 9- 9, 86.6)    12- 9   
 502 H Gates-Chili            NY A  Sec 5   ( 4-14, 79.7)    12- 6   
 507 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 90.2)     7- 6   
 512 H Eastridge              NY B  Sec 5   ( 3-14, 76.9)    17- 5   
 514 H Webster Schroeder      NY A  Sec 5   (11- 8, 89.6)     8-12   
 519 H Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 7-10, 82.6)    21- 9   
 521 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 98.8)     5-15   
 526 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  NY A  Sec 5   ( 8- 9, 76.2)    22- 5   
 529 A Pittsford              NY A  Sec 5   (11- 7, 90.2)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Irondequoit             6-11      -5    -5           0.31
   402 H Webster Thomas         13-17      -4    -9    ++     5.78
   411 A Victor                  9- 4       5     9    --    -4.30
   414 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     13- 7       6     8    -     -2.39
   416 H Loyola Academy          4- 7      -3    -1          n/a  
   418 H Binghamton             12-13      -1     1          n/a  
   421 A Orchard Park            2-14     -12   -11          n/a  
   423 A Hilton                  8- 7       1     1          -0.53
   425 A West Seneca East       13- 9       4     8          n/a  
   428 A Churchville-Chili      12- 9       3     1           1.27
   502 H Gates-Chili            12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   507 A Pittsford               7- 6       1    -1    +      2.88
   512 H Eastridge              17- 5      12    13           0.00
   514 H Webster Schroeder       8-12      -4     0    --    -4.52
   519 H Rush-Henrietta         21- 9      12     7    +      2.45
   521 A Fairport                5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   526 H Greece Odyssey/Athena  22- 5      17    13           0.00
   529 A Pittsford               7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Victor                  9- 4       5     9    --    -4.30
   425 A West Seneca East       13- 9       4     8    --         
   502 H Gates-Chili            12- 6       6    10    --    -4.00
   514 H Webster Schroeder       8-12      -4     0    --    -4.52
   529 A Pittsford               7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.12
   414 A Honeoye Falls-Lima     13- 7       6     8    -     -2.39
   418 H Binghamton             12-13      -1     1    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Webster Thomas         13-17      -4    -9    ++     5.78
   507 A Pittsford               7- 6       1    -1    +      2.88
   519 H Rush-Henrietta         21- 9      12     7    +      2.45
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.22 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.03 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/