Conf =  Shore                     Region = NJ    Grp-II           
   Nickname = J Scarlet Flyers       Coach  =   Mike Smurro           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.2785950    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III (11- 7, 82.4)     3-15   
 404 A Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-10, 74.0)     1- 7   
 408 H Red Bank Regional      NJ    Grp-II  (11- 6, 87.2)     0-17   
 409 A Hightstown             NJ    Grp-II  ( 7-11, 73.4)     2- 9   
 416 H Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 5-15, 69.8)     1- 7   
 418 A Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 8, 79.3)     0-15   
 420 H Ranney School          NJ    Grp-B   (10- 4, 82.1)     4-15   
 421 A Colts Neck             NJ    Grp-III (11- 7, 82.4)     0-15   
 423 H Marlboro               NJ    Grp-IV  ( 6-10, 74.0)     2- 7   
 428 A Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (15- 3, 91.7)     2-19   
 430 H Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 4, 87.6)     2-15   
 501 A Ocean Township         NJ    Grp-III ( 5-15, 69.8)     2-13   
 505 H Howell                 NJ    Grp-IV  ( 8- 8, 79.3)     2-16   
 509 H St Rose Belmar         NJ    Grp-B   ( 1-14, 66.2)    11- 9   
 511 H Holmdel                NJ    Grp-II  ( 9- 9, 80.0)     2-14   
 514 A Freehold Township      NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 4, 87.6)     6-18   
 515 H Hamilton West          NJ    Grp-II  ( 2-14, 60.5)    11- 2   
 518 H Christian Bros         NJ    Grp-A   (15- 3, 91.7)     0-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Colts Neck              3-15     -12   -16           0.00
   404 A Marlboro                1- 7      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   408 H Red Bank Regional       0-17     -17   -21           0.00
   409 A Hightstown              2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.78
   416 H Ocean Township          1- 7      -6    -4          -1.91
   418 A Howell                  0-15     -15   -15           0.00
   420 H Ranney School           4-15     -11   -16           0.00
   421 A Colts Neck              0-15     -15   -18           0.00
   423 H Marlboro                2- 7      -5    -8    +      3.30
   428 A Christian Bros          2-19     -17   -28           0.00
   430 H Freehold Township       2-15     -13   -21           0.00
   501 A Ocean Township          2-13     -11    -6    -     -3.85
   505 H Howell                  2-16     -14   -13           0.00
   509 H St Rose Belmar         11- 9       2     0    +      2.52
   511 H Holmdel                 2-14     -12   -14           0.00
   514 A Freehold Township       6-18     -12   -23           0.00
   515 H Hamilton West          11- 2       9     5    +      3.81
   518 H Christian Bros          0-14     -14   -26           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Ocean Township          2-13     -11    -6    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Marlboro                1- 7      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   409 A Hightstown              2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.78
   423 H Marlboro                2- 7      -5    -8    +      3.30
   509 H St Rose Belmar         11- 9       2     0    +      2.52
   515 H Hamilton West          11- 2       9     5    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.63 Local Power Rank...........   156
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.36 Local SOS Rank.............   103
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............   145
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    96
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   164
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    2.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -9.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
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