Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Vince Shiffert        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.2141953    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Amherst                NY B  Sec 6   (14- 6, 86.6)    11- 8   
 331 A Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (12- 9, 87.8)    12-14   
 404 A Fairport               NY A  Sec 5   (16- 3, 98.8)     4-18   
 415 A Nichols                NY P  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 77.6)    14- 6   
 420 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 75.6)    15- 6   
 422 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 85.6)     9- 6   
 423 H Gowanda                NY C  Sec 6   (15- 5, 81.0)    18- 7   
 501 A Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 78.8)    14- 8   
 502 H Bethel Park            PA    Div1-S1 (12- 6, 96.7)     6- 9   
 504 H Timon St Jude          NY P  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.2)     6-14   
 505 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 69.5)    18- 6   
 508 H North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 64.2)    19- 3   
 509 H Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-11, 76.4)     9- 8   
 511 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     3-19   
 515 A Jamestown              NY A  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 61.8)    24- 2   
 519 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 7, 87.9)     9-10   
 521 H Salamanca              NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 82.0)    27-16   
 529 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 75.6)    13- 2   
 602 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 7, 87.9)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Amherst                11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.30
   331 A Canisius               12-14      -2    -2           0.48
   404 A Fairport                4-18     -14   -13          n/a  
   415 A Nichols                14- 6       8     7           0.34
   420 A Lancaster              15- 6       9     9          -0.66
   422 H Clarence                9- 6       3     1           1.11
   423 H Gowanda                18- 7      11     6    +      3.49
   501 A Williamsville North    14- 8       6     6          -0.49
   502 H Bethel Park             6- 9      -3    -9          n/a  
   504 H Timon St Jude           6-14      -8    -1    ---   -6.29
   505 H Lockport               18- 6      12    18           0.00
   508 H North Tonawanda        19- 3      16    23           0.00
   509 H Grand Island            9- 8       1    11    ---   -9.00
   511 H Orchard Park            3-19     -16   -12           0.00
   515 A Jamestown              24- 2      22    23           0.00
   519 H Frontier                9-10      -1     0          -0.64
   521 H Salamanca              27-16      11     5    ++     4.43
   529 H Lancaster              13- 2      11    11           0.00
   602 A Frontier                8- 9      -1    -2           1.58

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 H Timon St Jude           6-14      -8    -1    ---   -6.29
   509 H Grand Island            9- 8       1    11    ---   -9.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Bethel Park             6- 9      -3    -9    +++        
   328 A Amherst                11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.30
   521 H Salamanca              27-16      11     5    ++     4.43
   423 H Gowanda                18- 7      11     6    +      3.49
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.42 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.20 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.0
/