Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Mustangs             Coach  =   Adam Gerace           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.6482010    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 304 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (14- 5, 89.8)     0-13   
 306 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    4A      ( 7- 9, 81.8)    14- 9   
 310 A Apex                   NC    4A      (11- 6, 85.9)     5-10   
 317 H Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 9-10, 78.4)     8- 4   
 319 A Wakefield              NC    4A      (19- 1, 94.5)     7-18   
 321 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    4A      (14- 7, 90.1)     5-12   
 324 H Broughton-Needham      NC    4A      (10- 4, 83.2)    10-12   
 325 A Holly Springs          NC    4A      (14- 3, 90.3)     5-16   
 331 H Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 77.6)    12-11   
 402 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 85.6)     5-11   
 403 H Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)    14-11   
 414 H Apex                   NC    4A      (11- 6, 85.9)     5-11   
 416 A Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 5, 82.5)     5-10   
 417 H W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 5-10, 73.8)    13-12  o
 421 A Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 9-10, 78.4)     3- 5   
 424 H Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 5, 82.5)    13-12   
 428 A Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 77.6)     8- 9   
 430 A Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)     4- 5  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H East Chapel Hill        0-13     -13   -12           0.00
   306 H Wilmington Ashley      14- 9       5    -4    +++    9.28
   310 A Apex                    5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.43
   317 H Athens Drive            8- 4       4     0    ++     4.89
   319 A Wakefield               7-18     -11   -18           0.00
   321 A Wilmington Hoggard      5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   324 H Broughton-Needham      10-12      -2    -5    +      3.72
   325 A Holly Springs           5-16     -11   -13           0.00
   331 H Cary HS                12-11       1     0           1.16
   402 A Durham Jordan           5-11      -6    -9    +      3.14
   403 H Panther Creek          14-11       3     2           0.69
   414 H Apex                    5-11      -6    -8    +      2.38
   416 A Green Hope              5-10      -5    -6           1.03
   417 H W.G. Enloe             13-12  o    1     3    -     -2.72
   421 A Athens Drive            3- 5      -2    -1          -0.06
   424 H Green Hope             13-12       1    -4    ++     5.98
   428 A Cary HS                 8- 9      -1    -1           0.21
   430 A Panther Creek           4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 H W.G. Enloe             13-12  o    1     3    -     -2.72
   430 A Panther Creek           4- 5  o   -1     1    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H Wilmington Ashley      14- 9       5    -4    +++    9.28
   310 A Apex                    5-10      -5    -9    ++     4.43
   317 H Athens Drive            8- 4       4     0    ++     4.89
   424 H Green Hope             13-12       1    -4    ++     5.98
   321 A Wilmington Hoggard      5-12      -7   -13    +      3.00
   324 H Broughton-Needham      10-12      -2    -5    +      3.72
   402 A Durham Jordan           5-11      -6    -9    +      3.14
   414 H Apex                    5-11      -6    -8    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.96 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.72 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    44
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/