Conf =  Catholic                  Region = MA 1                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Rick Mazzei           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.9293365    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3          (12- 8, 84.2)     6- 2   
 328 H Newton South           MA 1          ( 6-12, 81.9)     9- 3   
 401 N Beverly                MA 1          ( 8-10, 79.9)     9- 8  o
 407 H Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 6, 94.9)     3- 5   
 411 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (19- 3, 99.9)     6-13   
 414 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (13- 8, 92.7)     4-12   
 416 A Central Catholic       MA 2          ( 7- 9, 83.4)    11-10   
 419 A Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (10- 8, 91.6)     8-11   
 421 H Chelmsford             MA 1          (11- 8, 87.1)     9- 3   
 428 N Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 6-11, 84.4)     8- 9  o
 430 A Boston College HS      MA 1          (15- 6, 94.9)     8-15   
 502 A Peabody                MA 1          (11- 8, 84.0)    11-10   
 505 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1          (19- 3, 99.9)     8-19   
 507 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1          (13- 8, 92.7)     7-12   
 513 H Catholic Memorial      MA 2          ( 6-11, 84.4)    10- 5   
 515 H Westford Academy       MA 1          (11- 9, 84.8)    11- 4   
 519 H Arlington              MA 2          ( 6-12, 78.3)    16- 6   
 520 H Saugus                 MA 2          ( 1-16, 65.3)    15- 2   
 521 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (19- 4, 99.9)     7-12   
 527 H Quincy                 MA 1          (10- 9, 82.9)    10- 6   
 530 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1          (16- 3, 97.1)     5-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Hamilton-Wenham         6- 2       4     3           0.17
   328 H Newton South            9- 3       6     6          -0.06
   401 N Beverly                 9- 8  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   407 H Boston College HS       3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.92
   411 H St Johns Prep Danvers   6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00
   414 A Xaverian Bros           4-12      -8    -6          -1.85
   416 A Central Catholic       11-10       1     3    -     -2.21
   419 A Our Lady-Good Counsel   8-11      -3    -5          n/a  
   421 H Chelmsford              9- 3       6     0    ++     5.12
   428 N Catholic Memorial       8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.92
   430 A Boston College HS       8-15      -7    -8           1.36
   502 A Peabody                11-10       1     2          -1.55
   505 A St Johns Prep Danvers   8-19     -11   -13           0.00
   507 H Xaverian Bros           7-12      -5    -4          -0.29
   513 H Catholic Memorial      10- 5       5     3           1.36
   515 H Westford Academy       11- 4       7     3    +      3.84
   519 H Arlington              16- 6      10     9           0.33
   520 H Saugus                 15- 2      13    22           0.00
   521 A St Johns Shrewsbury     7-12      -5   -13          n/a  
   527 H Quincy                 10- 6       4     5          -1.12
   530 A Lincoln-Sudbury         5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 N Beverly                 9- 8  o    1     7    ---   -6.37
   416 A Central Catholic       11-10       1     3    -     -2.21
   428 N Catholic Memorial       8- 9  o   -1     2    -     -3.92

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Boston College HS       3- 5      -2    -6    ++     4.92
   421 H Chelmsford              9- 3       6     0    ++     5.12
   521 A St Johns Shrewsbury     7-12      -5   -13    ++         
   411 H St Johns Prep Danvers   6-13      -7   -11    +      3.00
   419 A Our Lady-Good Counsel   8-11      -3    -5    +          
   515 H Westford Academy       11- 4       7     3    +      3.84
   530 A Lincoln-Sudbury         5-12      -7   -10    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.28 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.51 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    36
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    13
 Local Quality Win Rating.-25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    28
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/