Region = WA 2  Skagit           
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   Ted Girgus            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.6475372    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 315 A Roosevelt              WA 2  Evergrn ( 4-10, 84.7)     3- 4   
 318 H San Juan               WA 2  Skagit  ( 8- 5, 84.3)    12- 5   
 321 N Lake City              ID    North   (11- 4, 90.8)    12- 3   
 322 H Coeur d'Alene          ID    North   ( 5- 8, 82.7)     9- 6   
 325 H Mukilteo               WA 2  Skagit  (15- 3, 93.6)     6-15   
 327 A Whatcom                WA 2  Skagit  ( 6- 7, 80.4)     8- 9   
 328 H Port Angeles           WA 2  Olympic ( 4- 9, 79.5)    15- 8   
 407 H Skagit Valley          WA 2  Skagit  ( 0-12, 67.1)    21- 1   
 415 A Mukilteo               WA 2  Skagit  (15- 3, 93.6)     6- 9   
 417 A North County           WA 2  Skagit  ( 2-11, 73.8)    16- 2   
 421 A Stanwood               WA 2  Skagit  ( 7- 7, 82.5)     8- 7  o
 423 H Whatcom                WA 2  Skagit  ( 6- 7, 80.4)    14- 8   
 425 A San Juan               WA 2  Skagit  ( 8- 5, 84.3)     9-10   
 429 A Skagit Valley          WA 2  Skagit  ( 0-12, 67.1)    12- 0   
 506 H Stanwood               WA 2  Skagit  ( 7- 7, 82.5)    16- 7   
 512 H North County           WA 2  Skagit  ( 2-11, 73.8)    15- 3   
 516 H Tacoma                 WA 2  Olympic (10- 7, 90.0)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A Roosevelt               3- 4      -1     3    --    -4.56
   318 H San Juan               12- 5       7     5           1.77
   321 N Lake City              12- 3       9    -1          n/a  
   322 H Coeur d'Alene           9- 6       3     6          n/a  
   325 H Mukilteo                6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.94
   327 A Whatcom                 8- 9      -1     7    ---   -8.82
   328 H Port Angeles           15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   407 H Skagit Valley          21- 1      20    22           0.00
   415 A Mukilteo                6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.37
   417 A North County           16- 2      14    14           0.00
   421 A Stanwood                8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.78
   423 H Whatcom                14- 8       6     9    -     -3.12
   425 A San Juan                9-10      -1     3    --    -4.92
   429 A Skagit Valley          12- 0      12    21           0.00
   506 H Stanwood               16- 7       9     7           1.91
   512 H North County           15- 3      12    15           0.00
   516 H Tacoma                  9-10      -1     0          -0.56

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Whatcom                 8- 9      -1     7    ---   -8.82
   315 A Roosevelt               3- 4      -1     3    --    -4.56
   325 H Mukilteo                6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.94
   421 A Stanwood                8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.78
   425 A San Juan                9-10      -1     3    --    -4.92
   322 H Coeur d'Alene           9- 6       3     6    -          
   328 H Port Angeles           15- 8       7    10    -     -3.00
   423 H Whatcom                14- 8       6     9    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Lake City              12- 3       9    -1    +++        
   415 A Mukilteo                6- 9      -3    -5    +      2.37
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.90 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.59 Local SOS Rank.............    26
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
/