Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Lancers              Coach  =   Dan Helms             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5598984    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 87.0)     4- 3  o
 403 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 87.9)     5- 3   
 406 H Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 5, 91.5)     2- 4   
 408 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 87.0)     8- 3   
 421 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (10- 5, 93.5)     6- 5 7o
 423 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   (15- 0, 99.9)     4- 9   
 425 A Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 77.9)     3- 2 2o
 425 A Erie-McDowell          PA    Div2-S2 ( 5-12, 79.2)     4-13   
 428 A Gow School             NY I  Sec 6   ( 9- 5, 91.5)     1- 8   
 430 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 77.9)     7- 1   
 504 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (10- 5, 93.5)     0- 5   
 506 H Park School-Buffalo    NY I  Sec 6   ( 0- 6, 75.2)    14- 9   
 508 A St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   (15- 0, 99.9)     2-10   
 511 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 87.9)     1- 3   
 512 N St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   (15- 0, 99.9)     4-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Kenmore East            4- 3  o    1     0           0.70
   403 H Newfane                 5- 3       2     0    +      2.63
   406 H Gow School              2- 4      -2    -4    +      2.18
   408 A Kenmore East            8- 3       5    -1    +++    6.45
   421 H Genesee                 6- 5 7o    1    -6    +++    7.21
   423 H St Mary's Lancaster     4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   425 A Erie-Spears             3- 2 2o    1     7    ---   -6.62
   425 A Erie-McDowell           4-13      -9     6          n/a  
   428 A Gow School              1- 8      -7    -5          -1.07
   430 H Erie-Spears             7- 1       6     9    -     -3.37
   504 A Genesee                 0- 5      -5    -7    +      2.96
   506 H Park School-Buffalo    14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   508 A St Mary's Lancaster     2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00
   511 A Newfane                 1- 3      -2    -2           0.38
   512 N St Mary's Lancaster     4-10      -6   -13    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A Erie-Spears             3- 2 2o    1     7    ---   -6.62
   425 A Erie-McDowell           4-13      -9     6    ---        
   506 H Park School-Buffalo    14- 9       5    12    --    -5.00
   430 H Erie-Spears             7- 1       6     9    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Kenmore East            8- 3       5    -1    +++    6.45
   421 H Genesee                 6- 5 7o    1    -6    +++    7.21
   423 H St Mary's Lancaster     4- 9      -5   -12    ++     5.00
   512 N St Mary's Lancaster     4-10      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   403 H Newfane                 5- 3       2     0    +      2.63
   406 H Gow School              2- 4      -2    -4    +      2.18
   504 A Genesee                 0- 5      -5    -7    +      2.96
   508 A St Mary's Lancaster     2-10      -8   -14    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.41 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 75.09 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/