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Region = NY I Sec 6 Nickname = Y Lancers Coach = Dan HelmsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.5598984 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 401 H Kenmore East NY I Sec 6 ( 4- 9, 87.0) 4- 3 o 403 H Newfane NY I Sec 6 ( 6- 7, 87.9) 5- 3 406 H Gow School NY I Sec 6 ( 9- 5, 91.5) 2- 4 408 A Kenmore East NY I Sec 6 ( 4- 9, 87.0) 8- 3 421 H Genesee NY I Sec 6 (10- 5, 93.5) 6- 5 7o 423 H St Mary's Lancaster NY I Sec 6 (15- 0, 99.9) 4- 9 425 A Erie-Spears NY I Sec 6 ( 0-13, 77.9) 3- 2 2o 425 A Erie-McDowell PA Div2-S2 ( 5-12, 79.2) 4-13 428 A Gow School NY I Sec 6 ( 9- 5, 91.5) 1- 8 430 H Erie-Spears NY I Sec 6 ( 0-13, 77.9) 7- 1 504 A Genesee NY I Sec 6 (10- 5, 93.5) 0- 5 506 H Park School-Buffalo NY I Sec 6 ( 0- 6, 75.2) 14- 9 508 A St Mary's Lancaster NY I Sec 6 (15- 0, 99.9) 2-10 511 A Newfane NY I Sec 6 ( 6- 7, 87.9) 1- 3 512 N St Mary's Lancaster NY I Sec 6 (15- 0, 99.9) 4-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Kenmore East 4- 3 o 1 0 0.70 403 H Newfane 5- 3 2 0 + 2.63 406 H Gow School 2- 4 -2 -4 + 2.18 408 A Kenmore East 8- 3 5 -1 +++ 6.45 421 H Genesee 6- 5 7o 1 -6 +++ 7.21 423 H St Mary's Lancaster 4- 9 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 425 A Erie-Spears 3- 2 2o 1 7 --- -6.62 425 A Erie-McDowell 4-13 -9 6 n/a 428 A Gow School 1- 8 -7 -5 -1.07 430 H Erie-Spears 7- 1 6 9 - -3.37 504 A Genesee 0- 5 -5 -7 + 2.96 506 H Park School-Buffalo 14- 9 5 12 -- -5.00 508 A St Mary's Lancaster 2-10 -8 -14 + 2.00 511 A Newfane 1- 3 -2 -2 0.38 512 N St Mary's Lancaster 4-10 -6 -13 ++ 4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 A Erie-Spears 3- 2 2o 1 7 --- -6.62 425 A Erie-McDowell 4-13 -9 6 --- 506 H Park School-Buffalo 14- 9 5 12 -- -5.00 430 H Erie-Spears 7- 1 6 9 - -3.37OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Kenmore East 8- 3 5 -1 +++ 6.45 421 H Genesee 6- 5 7o 1 -6 +++ 7.21 423 H St Mary's Lancaster 4- 9 -5 -12 ++ 5.00 512 N St Mary's Lancaster 4-10 -6 -13 ++ 4.00 403 H Newfane 5- 3 2 0 + 2.63 406 H Gow School 2- 4 -2 -4 + 2.18 504 A Genesee 0- 5 -5 -7 + 2.96 508 A St Mary's Lancaster 2-10 -8 -14 + 2.00/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 86.41 Local Power Rank........... 6 Local SOS Rating......... 75.09 Local SOS Rank............. 3 Local RPI Rating......... 0.51 Local RPI Rank............. 4 Championship Probability . 2.0 Championship Rank ....... 6 Local Quality Win Rating.125.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 4.3 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 5.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -1.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -2.4 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3