Region = PA    Mid 1            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Ian Baker             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8072662    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Red Lion               PA    York 1  (17- 1, 96.9)     5- 7   
 327 A Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (12- 7, 87.6)     9-13   
 328 H State College          PA    CSNLL   (12- 8, 81.3)    13- 4   
 401 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 2-10, 73.4)    13- 3   
 404 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL02    ( 5-13, 80.5)    11- 6   
 406 A Carlisle               PA    Mid 1   (18- 8, 92.8)     2-15   
 408 A Bishop McDevitt        PA    Mid 1   ( 7- 7, 83.0)     7- 2   
 409 A New Oxford             PA    York 2  ( 2-14, 68.6)    13- 1   
 413 H Central Dauphin East   PA    Mid 1   ( 0-16, 68.5)    15- 4   
 415 H Northern York          PA    Mid 1   (13- 6, 90.0)     6-10   
 417 A Mechanicsburg          PA    Mid 1   ( 4-12, 73.9)    16- 8   
 420 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 6-10, 81.6)    12-10   
 422 H Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (22- 3, 97.7)     6-16   
 424 A South-Western          PA    York 1  ( 4-11, 78.9)     6- 5  o
 427 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 6- 9, 81.6)    11- 9   
 429 H Cumberland Valley      PA    Mid 1   (10- 7, 88.5)     2- 6   
 501 A Chambersburg           PA    Mid 1   ( 9- 6, 87.2)    14-13  o
 502 H Conrad Weiser          PA    Berks   (19- 3, 91.5)     9-11   
 512 A Susquehannock          PA    York 2  (14- 2, 93.4)     9-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Red Lion                5- 7      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   327 A Wilson West Lawn        9-13      -4    -2          -1.47
   328 H State College          13- 4       9     5    +      3.82
   401 H Central Dauphin        13- 3      10    13           0.00
   404 H Elizabethtown          11- 6       5     5          -0.98
   406 A Carlisle                2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.25
   408 A Bishop McDevitt         7- 2       5     2    +      2.95
   409 A New Oxford             13- 1      12    16           0.00
   413 H Central Dauphin East   15- 4      11    17           0.00
   415 H Northern York           6-10      -4    -3          -0.53
   417 A Mechanicsburg          16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00
   420 A Palmyra                12-10       2     3          -1.50
   422 H Hershey                 6-16     -10   -11           0.00
   424 A South-Western           6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.19
   427 A Harrisburg Academy     11- 9       2     3          -1.44
   429 H Cumberland Valley       2- 6      -4    -1    -     -2.02
   501 A Chambersburg           14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.14
   502 H Conrad Weiser           9-11      -2    -5    +      3.04
   512 A Susquehannock           9-16      -7    -8           1.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A South-Western           6- 5  o    1     6    --    -5.19
   406 A Carlisle                2-15     -13    -7    -     -2.25
   417 A Mechanicsburg          16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00
   429 H Cumberland Valley       2- 6      -4    -1    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Red Lion                5- 7      -2   -11    +++    8.00
   328 H State College          13- 4       9     5    +      3.82
   408 A Bishop McDevitt         7- 2       5     2    +      2.95
   501 A Chambersburg           14-13  o    1    -2    +      3.14
   502 H Conrad Weiser           9-11      -2    -5    +      3.04
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.79 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.04 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
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