Lexington Tates Creek         1 - 9


 
                                     Region = KY    Div-1B           
   Nickname = Y Commodores           Coach  =   Andy Tarter           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   76.4449463    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 314 H Covington Catholic     KY    Div-1B  ( 3- 7, 77.7)     5-16   
 315 H Hamilton SouthEastern  IN    Indep   (14- 4, 90.4)     0-14   
 318 H Lafayette              KY    Div-1C  ( 6- 6, 74.5)    10- 5   
 322 N Vianney Marianist      MO    Div-1   (10-10, 89.5)     7-18   
 325 A Lexington Henry Clay   KY    Div-1B  ( 2- 8, 77.5)     4-10   
 409 A Lexington Sayre        KY    Div-1A  ( 5- 9, 84.8)     2-15   
 411 H DuPont Manual          KY    Div-1B  ( 7- 7, 82.4)     4- 8   
 415 A Lexington Dunbar       KY    Div-1B  ( 8- 5, 88.3)     0-15   
 418 H Kentucky Country Day   KY    Div-1B  (12- 3, 93.5)     8-16   
 428 A Christian Academy      KY    Div-1B  ( 5- 9, 81.2)     6-14   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Covington Catholic      5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.42
   315 H Hamilton SouthEastern   0-14     -14   -18          n/a  
   318 H Lafayette              10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.43
   322 N Vianney Marianist       7-18     -11   -18          n/a  
   325 A Lexington Henry Clay    4-10      -6    -7           1.28
   409 A Lexington Sayre         2-15     -13   -14           0.00
   411 H DuPont Manual           4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   415 A Lexington Dunbar        0-15     -15   -18           0.00
   418 H Kentucky Country Day    8-16      -8   -21    +      2.00
   428 A Christian Academy       6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Covington Catholic      5-16     -11    -5    --    -4.42


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H Lafayette              10- 5       5    -2    +++    7.43
   411 H DuPont Manual           4- 8      -4   -10    +++    6.00
   418 H Kentucky Country Day    8-16      -8   -21    +      2.00
   428 A Christian Academy       6-14      -8   -11    +      2.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.16 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.25 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.36 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.-75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  1- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.3


  
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