Conf =  WestMass                  Region = MA 2                   
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   John Rauseo           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 331 A Cathedral Springfield  MA 2          ( 4-16, 83.8)    14- 9   
 403 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 8- 9, 91.5)    16- 3   
 407 A West Springfield       MA 2          (10- 8, 93.3)    19- 8   
 414 H Northampton            MA 2          (10- 8, 93.1)    14-10   
 415 H Deerfield              NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.9)     5-19   
 421 A Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          ( 5-12, 87.3)    13- 9   
 423 A Hotchkiss              NE 1  West    (10- 3, 94.2)     0-14   
 425 H Pinkerton              NH 1          (17- 3, 99.9)     8-17   
 428 A South Hadley           MA 2          (14- 9, 95.9)    13- 4   
 501 A Westfield              MA 2          (15- 3, 99.9)    11-12   
 503 H Medfield               MA 2          (22- 1, 98.6)     4-13   
 505 H Minnechaug             MA 2          (12- 6, 99.0)    11- 3   
 508 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2          (19- 4, 99.9)    11-14   
 512 H Amherst-Pelham         MA 2          ( 5-12, 87.3)    18- 4   
 515 H Westfield              MA 2          (15- 3, 99.9)    17- 6   
 516 A Algonquin              MA 2          (19- 3, 98.8)     8- 7   
 519 A Minnechaug             MA 2          (12- 6, 99.0)     8- 7   
 521 A Agawam                 MA 2          ( 2-18, 82.6)    16- 7   
 526 H South Hadley           MA 2          (14- 9, 95.9)     9- 7   
 530 H East Longmeadow        MA 2          ( 8- 9, 91.5)    15- 6   
 602 N Minnechaug             MA 2          (12- 6, 99.0)    11- 6   
 608 N South Hadley           MA 2          (14- 9, 95.9)     6- 7  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Cathedral Springfield  14- 9       5    15    --    -5.00
   403 H East Longmeadow        16- 3      13     8           1.02
   407 A West Springfield       19- 8      11     5    ++     4.42
   414 H Northampton            14-10       4     7    -     -3.37
   415 H Deerfield               5-19     -14     0          n/a  
   421 A Amherst-Pelham         13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   423 A Hotchkiss               0-14     -14     4          n/a  
   425 H Pinkerton               8-17      -9     0          n/a  
   428 A South Hadley           13- 4       9     2    +++    6.06
   501 A Westfield              11-12      -1    -1           0.07
   503 H Medfield                4-13      -9     1          n/a  
   505 H Minnechaug             11- 3       8     1    +++    6.56
   508 A St Johns Shrewsbury    11-14      -3    -1          n/a  
   512 H Amherst-Pelham         18- 4      14    13           0.00
   515 H Westfield              17- 6      11     0    +++    9.46
   516 A Algonquin               8- 7       1     0          n/a  
   519 A Minnechaug              8- 7       1     0           1.16
   521 A Agawam                 16- 7       9    16          -1.00
   526 H South Hadley            9- 7       2     4    -     -2.54
   530 H East Longmeadow        15- 6       9     8           0.02
   602 N Minnechaug             11- 6       5     0    ++     4.36
   608 N South Hadley            6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Deerfield               5-19     -14     0    ---        
   421 A Amherst-Pelham         13- 9       4    11    ---   -6.00
   423 A Hotchkiss               0-14     -14     4    ---        
   425 H Pinkerton               8-17      -9     0    ---        
   503 H Medfield                4-13      -9     1    ---        
   331 A Cathedral Springfield  14- 9       5    15    --    -5.00
   608 N South Hadley            6- 7  o   -1     3    --    -4.74
   414 H Northampton            14-10       4     7    -     -3.37
   526 H South Hadley            9- 7       2     4    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A South Hadley           13- 4       9     2    +++    6.06
   505 H Minnechaug             11- 3       8     1    +++    6.56
   515 H Westfield              17- 6      11     0    +++    9.46
   407 A West Springfield       19- 8      11     5    ++     4.42
   602 N Minnechaug             11- 6       5     0    ++     4.36
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.64 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 88.07 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     1
 Championship Probability .   48.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.305.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     1
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 13- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 14- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/