Region = NY C  Sec 8            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Matt McFarland        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0228271    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H Kellenberg             NY    Cath    ( 4-14, 79.5)     8- 7   
 320 A Port Washington        NY A  Sec 8   (12- 5, 89.9)     9-17   
 324 A Floral Park            NY B  Sec 8   (10- 7, 85.1)     5-12   
 328 A John Glenn - Elwood    NY C  Sec 11  (10- 9, 83.1)     0-12   
 401 H Clarke                 NY C  Sec 8   ( 8- 7, 79.3)     8- 1   
 404 H Roslyn                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 5-11, 76.2)     8- 3   
 407 A Mepham                 NY B  Sec 8   ( 9- 8, 81.2)     5- 8   
 417 A Jericho                NY B  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 76.3)    16- 3   
 422 H Manhasset              NY C  Sec 8   (20- 1, 99.9)     4-15   
 425 A Friends Academy        NY C  Sec 8   ( 8- 8, 87.4)     6-13   
 428 H North Shore            NY C  Sec 8   ( 8- 9, 84.8)    10-11   
 501 A Mineola                NY C  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 80.4)     7- 6   
 505 H Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   (13- 5, 90.4)     5- 8   
 508 A Island Trees           NY C  Sec 8   ( 3-13, 74.7)     8- 7   
 513 A Cold Spring Harbor     NY C  Sec 8   (15- 3, 94.0)     2- 8   
 521 A Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   (13- 5, 90.4)     5- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Kellenberg              8- 7       1     2          n/a  
   320 A Port Washington         9-17      -8    -9           1.79
   324 A Floral Park             5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.04
   328 A John Glenn - Elwood     0-12     -12    -2          n/a  
   401 H Clarke                  8- 1       7     2    ++     4.41
   404 H Roslyn                  8- 3       5     5          -0.71
   407 A Mepham                  5- 8      -3    -1          -1.89
   417 A Jericho                16- 3      13     3    +++    6.25
   422 H Manhasset               4-15     -11   -17           0.00
   425 A Friends Academy         6-13      -7    -7           0.31
   428 H North Shore            10-11      -1    -2           1.87
   501 A Mineola                 7- 6       1     0           1.32
   505 H Seaford                 5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.53
   508 A Island Trees            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.41
   513 A Cold Spring Harbor      2- 8      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   521 A Seaford                 5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A John Glenn - Elwood     0-12     -12    -2    ---        
   508 A Island Trees            8- 7       1     5    --    -4.41
   324 A Floral Park             5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Jericho                16- 3      13     3    +++    6.25
   521 A Seaford                 5- 8      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   401 H Clarke                  8- 1       7     2    ++     4.41
   505 H Seaford                 5- 8      -3    -8    ++     5.53
   513 A Cold Spring Harbor      2- 8      -6   -13    ++     4.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.00 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.52 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    27
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    30
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/