Region = PA    LL01             
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Rob Umble             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2964478    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Harrisburg Academy     PA    Mid 1   ( 6- 9, 81.6)    11- 4   
 323 A Warwick                PA    LL01    ( 9- 9, 91.8)     3- 8   
 325 H Hempfield              PA    LL01    (20- 5, 99.9)     3-10   
 327 A Penn Manor             PA    LL01    (11- 8, 90.5)     4- 5   
 402 H Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (20- 6, 98.9)     5- 4   
 404 A Moravian Academy       PA    Indep   ( 3-13, 71.2)     7-10   
 406 A Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 4-15, 75.3)    20- 2   
 409 H Ephrata                PA    LL02    (11- 9, 89.0)     6- 8   
 416 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    ( 6-11, 83.0)     8- 7   
 418 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL02    ( 5-13, 80.5)    12- 3   
 420 A Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 1-16, 65.9)    18- 0   
 421 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    (12- 6, 91.2)     7- 5   
 422 H Warwick                PA    LL01    ( 9- 9, 91.8)     7- 6   
 425 H Wyomissing             PA    Berks   ( 9- 9, 82.0)    12- 4   
 427 A Hempfield              PA    LL01    (20- 5, 99.9)     6-15   
 429 H Penn Manor             PA    LL01    (11- 8, 90.5)     8- 9 3o
 430 H Lancaster Mennonite    PA    LL01    ( 9- 6, 76.4)    11- 5   
 504 A Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (20- 6, 98.9)     2-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Harrisburg Academy     11- 4       7     6           0.21
   323 A Warwick                 3- 8      -5    -3          -1.62
   325 H Hempfield               3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   327 A Penn Manor              4- 5      -1    -2           1.11
   402 H Manheim Township        5- 4       1    -9    +++   10.04
   404 A Moravian Academy        7-10      -3    17          n/a  
   406 A Cocalico               20- 2      18    13           0.00
   409 H Ephrata                 6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.81
   416 H Conestoga Valley        8- 7       1     6    --    -5.86
   418 H Elizabethtown          12- 3       9     9          -0.33
   420 A Garden Spot            18- 0      18    22           0.00
   421 A Lampeter-Strasburg      7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.78
   422 H Warwick                 7- 6       1    -1    +      2.97
   425 H Wyomissing             12- 4       8     7           0.20
   427 A Hempfield               6-15      -9   -11           1.00
   429 H Penn Manor              8- 9 3o   -1     0          -0.30
   430 H Lancaster Mennonite    11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   504 A Manheim Township        2-15     -13   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Moravian Academy        7-10      -3    17    ---        
   416 H Conestoga Valley        8- 7       1     6    --    -5.86
   430 H Lancaster Mennonite    11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   409 H Ephrata                 6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Manheim Township        5- 4       1    -9    +++   10.04
   421 A Lampeter-Strasburg      7- 5       2    -2    ++     4.78
   325 H Hempfield               3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   422 H Warwick                 7- 6       1    -1    +      2.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.14 Local Power Rank...........    12
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.45 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating. 55.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/