Region = PA    LL02             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Jeremy Adams          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7857361    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 H Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 1-16, 65.9)    17- 0   
 326 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    (12- 6, 91.2)     2-10   
 328 A Lewisburg              PA    CSNLL   (13- 4, 84.0)     5- 6   
 330 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    ( 6-11, 83.0)     7-11   
 401 H Ephrata                PA    LL02    (11- 9, 89.0)     3-16   
 404 A Lower Dauphin          PA    Mid 1   (11- 8, 85.8)     6-11   
 407 H Warwick                PA    LL01    ( 9- 9, 91.8)     3- 8   
 409 A Lancaster Mennonite    PA    LL01    ( 9- 6, 76.4)    15- 7   
 413 H Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (20- 6, 98.9)     1- 9   
 414 A Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 4-15, 75.3)     9- 6   
 416 H Hempfield              PA    LL01    (20- 5, 99.9)     2-16   
 418 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL01    (10- 8, 89.1)     3-12   
 423 A Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 1-16, 65.9)    12- 0   
 428 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    (12- 6, 91.2)     2- 9   
 430 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    ( 6-11, 83.0)     3- 6   
 501 A Ephrata                PA    LL02    (11- 9, 89.0)     8-11   
 504 H Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 4-15, 75.3)    13- 7   
 505 A Penn Manor             PA    LL01    (11- 8, 90.5)     1- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Garden Spot            17- 0      17    15           0.00
   326 A Lampeter-Strasburg      2-10      -8   -11    +      2.00
   328 A Lewisburg               5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.15
   330 H Conestoga Valley        7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.24
   401 H Ephrata                 3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.19
   404 A Lower Dauphin           6-11      -5    -5           0.98
   407 H Warwick                 3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   409 A Lancaster Mennonite    15- 7       8     3    ++     4.57
   413 H Manheim Township        1- 9      -8   -17    +      2.00
   414 A Cocalico                9- 6       3     4          -1.55
   416 H Hempfield               2-16     -14   -18           0.00
   418 A Lancaster Cou Day       3-12      -9    -9           0.33
   423 A Garden Spot            12- 0      12    13           0.00
   428 H Lampeter-Strasburg      2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.99
   430 A Conestoga Valley        3- 6      -3    -3           0.18
   501 A Ephrata                 8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.23
   504 H Cocalico               13- 7       6     5           0.03
   505 A Penn Manor              1- 7      -6   -10    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Conestoga Valley        7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.24
   401 H Ephrata                 3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Ephrata                 8-11      -3    -9    +++    6.23
   407 H Warwick                 3- 8      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   409 A Lancaster Mennonite    15- 7       8     3    ++     4.57
   505 A Penn Manor              1- 7      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   326 A Lampeter-Strasburg      2-10      -8   -11    +      2.00
   328 A Lewisburg               5- 6      -1    -4    +      3.15
   413 H Manheim Township        1- 9      -8   -17    +      2.00
   428 H Lampeter-Strasburg      2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.52 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.63 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/