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Region = PA LL02 Nickname = A Bears Coach = Jeremy AdamsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.7857361 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 323 H Garden Spot PA LL02 ( 1-16, 65.9) 17- 0 326 A Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL02 (12- 6, 91.2) 2-10 328 A Lewisburg PA CSNLL (13- 4, 84.0) 5- 6 330 H Conestoga Valley PA LL02 ( 6-11, 83.0) 7-11 401 H Ephrata PA LL02 (11- 9, 89.0) 3-16 404 A Lower Dauphin PA Mid 1 (11- 8, 85.8) 6-11 407 H Warwick PA LL01 ( 9- 9, 91.8) 3- 8 409 A Lancaster Mennonite PA LL01 ( 9- 6, 76.4) 15- 7 413 H Manheim Township PA LL01 (20- 6, 98.9) 1- 9 414 A Cocalico PA LL02 ( 4-15, 75.3) 9- 6 416 H Hempfield PA LL01 (20- 5, 99.9) 2-16 418 A Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 (10- 8, 89.1) 3-12 423 A Garden Spot PA LL02 ( 1-16, 65.9) 12- 0 428 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL02 (12- 6, 91.2) 2- 9 430 A Conestoga Valley PA LL02 ( 6-11, 83.0) 3- 6 501 A Ephrata PA LL02 (11- 9, 89.0) 8-11 504 H Cocalico PA LL02 ( 4-15, 75.3) 13- 7 505 A Penn Manor PA LL01 (11- 8, 90.5) 1- 7PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Garden Spot 17- 0 17 15 0.00 326 A Lampeter-Strasburg 2-10 -8 -11 + 2.00 328 A Lewisburg 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.15 330 H Conestoga Valley 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.24 401 H Ephrata 3-16 -13 -7 - -2.19 404 A Lower Dauphin 6-11 -5 -5 0.98 407 H Warwick 3- 8 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 409 A Lancaster Mennonite 15- 7 8 3 ++ 4.57 413 H Manheim Township 1- 9 -8 -17 + 2.00 414 A Cocalico 9- 6 3 4 -1.55 416 H Hempfield 2-16 -14 -18 0.00 418 A Lancaster Cou Day 3-12 -9 -9 0.33 423 A Garden Spot 12- 0 12 13 0.00 428 H Lampeter-Strasburg 2- 9 -7 -9 + 2.99 430 A Conestoga Valley 3- 6 -3 -3 0.18 501 A Ephrata 8-11 -3 -9 +++ 6.23 504 H Cocalico 13- 7 6 5 0.03 505 A Penn Manor 1- 7 -6 -10 ++ 4.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 H Conestoga Valley 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.24 401 H Ephrata 3-16 -13 -7 - -2.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 501 A Ephrata 8-11 -3 -9 +++ 6.23 407 H Warwick 3- 8 -5 -10 ++ 5.00 409 A Lancaster Mennonite 15- 7 8 3 ++ 4.57 505 A Penn Manor 1- 7 -6 -10 ++ 4.00 326 A Lampeter-Strasburg 2-10 -8 -11 + 2.00 328 A Lewisburg 5- 6 -1 -4 + 3.15 413 H Manheim Township 1- 9 -8 -17 + 2.00 428 H Lampeter-Strasburg 2- 9 -7 -9 + 2.99/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 80.52 Local Power Rank........... 28 Local SOS Rating......... 67.63 Local SOS Rank............. 17 Local RPI Rating......... 0.44 Local RPI Rank............. 35 Championship Probability . 0.1 Championship Rank ....... 23 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank..... 36 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 6.2 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0-11 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -7.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0