Region = KY    Div-1A           
   Nickname = Y Spartans             Coach  =   Erik Johnson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0440521    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Covington Catholic     KY    Div-1B  ( 3- 7, 77.7)    17- 5   
 310 H Lexington Henry Clay   KY    Div-1B  ( 2- 8, 77.5)    13-11   
 314 N Hamilton SouthEastern  IN    Indep   (14- 4, 90.4)     7- 8   
 318 A Lexington Catholic     KY    Div-1A  ( 7- 4, 91.5)    14-17   
 321 H Louisville St Xavier   KY    Div-1A  (13- 3, 99.9)     8-15   
 324 A Louisville Trinity     KY    Div-1A  (10- 6, 93.9)     1- 8   
 409 H Lexington Tates Creek  KY    Div-1B  ( 1- 9, 71.2)    15- 2   
 411 A Kentucky Country Day   KY    Div-1B  (12- 3, 93.5)     5- 6   
 415 H Louisville Collegiate  KY    Div-1A  (11- 9, 93.0)     5-14   
 418 H Cincinnati Cou Day     OH 2  Reg 4   ( 4-12, 85.1)     8- 7   
 421 A Cincinnati Sycamore    OH 1  Reg 4   (13- 6, 89.4)     0-16   
 424 A Louisville Ballard     KY    Div-1A  ( 7- 6, 90.3)     4-14   
 428 A Louisville Eastern     KY    Div-1A  ( 5- 9, 84.2)    11- 9   
 430 A Lexington Dunbar       KY    Div-1B  ( 8- 5, 88.3)     5- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Covington Catholic     17- 5      12     6    +      3.82
   310 H Lexington Henry Clay   13-11       2     8    ---   -6.31
   314 N Hamilton SouthEastern   7- 8      -1    -5          n/a  
   318 A Lexington Catholic     14-17      -3    -7    ++     4.61
   321 H Louisville St Xavier    8-15      -7   -14    +      3.00
   324 A Louisville Trinity      1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.98
   409 H Lexington Tates Creek  15- 2      13    14           0.00
   411 A Kentucky Country Day    5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.59
   415 H Louisville Collegiate   5-14      -9    -7          -1.81
   418 H Cincinnati Cou Day      8- 7       1     1          n/a  
   421 A Cincinnati Sycamore     0-16     -16    -5          n/a  
   424 A Louisville Ballard      4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.55
   428 A Louisville Eastern     11- 9       2     0    +      2.34
   430 A Lexington Dunbar        5- 9      -4    -4           0.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Lexington Henry Clay   13-11       2     8    ---   -6.31
   421 A Cincinnati Sycamore     0-16     -16    -5    --         
   424 A Louisville Ballard      4-14     -10    -6    -     -3.55

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Kentucky Country Day    5- 6      -1    -9    +++    8.59
   314 N Hamilton SouthEastern   7- 8      -1    -5    ++         
   318 A Lexington Catholic     14-17      -3    -7    ++     4.61
   303 A Covington Catholic     17- 5      12     6    +      3.82
   321 H Louisville St Xavier    8-15      -7   -14    +      3.00
   324 A Louisville Trinity      1- 8      -7    -9    +      2.98
   428 A Louisville Eastern     11- 9       2     0    +      2.34
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.83 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.68 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/