Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.6386795    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 A Our Lady-Good Counsel  DC    WCAC    (10- 8, 91.6)     9- 4   
 313 H Gilman                 MD A  MIAA    (15- 1, 99.1)     5-12   
 317 A Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    ( 9- 8, 89.0)     9- 7   
 321 A Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 7-10, 88.7)    10- 6   
 321 N Episcopal Academy      PA    IAC     (13- 8, 96.8)     8- 6   
 324 H Western Reserve Acad   OH 1  Indep   (19- 4, 97.8)     9- 6   
 325 A Woodson                VA    Liberty (11- 6, 92.2)    10- 5   
 327 H St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    (15- 2, 98.7)     5-11   
 331 A Severn                 MD A  MIAA    (13-10, 89.8)     6- 8   
 403 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (16- 7, 92.9)     7- 6   
 406 H Coronado               CA    City    (21- 2, 99.9)     8- 2   
 411 H St Albans              DC    IAC     (15- 7, 93.4)     5- 1   
 415 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (15- 6, 96.1)     7- 4   
 417 A Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     ( 8-11, 85.2)    10- 4   
 418 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    ( 9-12, 90.3)     7- 5   
 422 H Robinson               VA    Concord (12- 7, 93.7)    10- 4   
 424 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (14- 7, 90.1)     9- 3   
 429 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (20- 3, 99.9)     6- 5   
 501 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 5-14, 85.5)    13- 4   
 504 H South River            MD 43 East    (18- 1, 98.4)     8- 3   
 509 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (16- 7, 92.9)     4- 2   
 513 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (20- 3, 99.9)     3-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Our Lady-Good Counsel   9- 4       5     1          n/a  
   313 H Gilman                  5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.60
   317 A Mount St Joseph         9- 7       2     5    -     -3.62
   321 A Archbishop Spalding    10- 6       4     5          -1.98
   321 N Episcopal Academy       8- 6       2    -2          n/a  
   324 H Western Reserve Acad    9- 6       3    -2          n/a  
   325 A Woodson                10- 5       5     2          n/a  
   327 H St Mary's Annapolis     5-11      -6    -4          -2.00
   331 A Severn                  6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.88
   403 H St Stephen/St Agnes     7- 6       1     1          -0.78
   406 H Coronado                8- 2       6    -4          n/a  
   411 H St Albans               5- 1       4     1    +      2.75
   415 H DeMatha                 7- 4       3     0          n/a  
   417 A Episcopal HS           10- 4       6     9    -     -3.39
   418 A Gonzaga                 7- 5       2     3          n/a  
   422 H Robinson               10- 4       6     1          n/a  
   424 A Bullis                  9- 3       6     4           1.41
   429 H Georgetown Prep         6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.24
   501 H Bishop O'Connell       13- 4       9    10          n/a  
   504 H South River             8- 3       5    -3          n/a  
   509 H St Stephen/St Agnes     4- 2       2     1           0.22
   513 H Georgetown Prep         3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.76

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   331 A Severn                  6- 8      -2     4    ---   -6.88
   313 H Gilman                  5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.60
   317 A Mount St Joseph         9- 7       2     5    -     -3.62
   417 A Episcopal HS           10- 4       6     9    -     -3.39
   513 H Georgetown Prep         3-11      -8    -5    -     -2.76

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Coronado                8- 2       6    -4    +++        
   429 H Georgetown Prep         6- 5       1    -5    +++    6.24
   504 H South River             8- 3       5    -3    +++        
   321 N Episcopal Academy       8- 6       2    -2    ++         
   324 H Western Reserve Acad    9- 6       3    -2    ++         
   422 H Robinson               10- 4       6     1    ++         
   311 A Our Lady-Good Counsel   9- 4       5     1    +          
   325 A Woodson                10- 5       5     2    +          
   411 H St Albans               5- 1       4     1    +      2.75
   415 H DeMatha                 7- 4       3     0    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.65 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.40 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.100.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/