Region = NY A  Sec 9            
   Nickname = Y Tigers               Coach  =   Michael Fratto        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2068787    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 402 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    NY A  Sec 9   ( 0-18, 73.5)    19- 0   
 404 A Warwick Valley         NY A  Sec 9   (19- 2, 99.9)     9-14   
 406 A Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 94.0)     6- 7   
 409 H Albany Academy         NY B  Sec 2   ( 8- 8, 78.3)     8- 5   
 416 A Middletown             NY A  Sec 9   ( 5-13, 77.9)    14- 1   
 418 N Chenango Forks         NY B  Sec 4   (15- 6, 93.6)     3- 8   
 421 H Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-16, 76.9)    16- 4   
 427 A Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (15- 5, 93.9)     8-10   
 502 H Valley Central         NY A  Sec 9   (16- 4, 96.5)     6- 5  o
 504 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 94.0)     8- 5   
 506 H Delaware Valley        NY I  Sec 9   ( 5-13, 78.7)    12- 4   
 512 A Newburgh Free Academy  NY A  Sec 9   ( 2-16, 76.9)    18- 6   
 514 H Middletown             NY A  Sec 9   ( 5-13, 77.9)    14- 5   
 516 A J.S. Burke Catholic    NY C  Sec 9   ( 8- 9, 83.6)    10- 1   
 519 H Washingtonville        NY A  Sec 9   ( 6-10, 79.6)    20- 2   
 520 H Pine Bush              NY A  Sec 9   (15- 5, 93.9)     3- 8   
 522 A Minisink Valley        NY A  Sec 9   (11- 8, 89.2)    10- 5   
 528 H Monroe-Woodbury        NY A  Sec 9   (14- 5, 94.0)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Roosevelt Hyde Park    19- 0      19    20           0.00
   404 A Warwick Valley          9-14      -5    -7    +      2.48
   406 A Monroe-Woodbury         6- 7      -1    -1           0.56
   409 H Albany Academy          8- 5       3    15          n/a  
   416 A Middletown             14- 1      13    14           0.00
   418 N Chenango Forks          3- 8      -5     0          n/a  
   421 H Newburgh Free Academy  16- 4      12    17           0.00
   427 A Pine Bush               8-10      -2    -1          -0.54
   502 H Valley Central          6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.55
   504 H Monroe-Woodbury         8- 5       3     0    +      2.99
   506 H Delaware Valley        12- 4       8    15    -     -2.00
   512 A Newburgh Free Academy  18- 6      12    15           0.00
   514 H Middletown             14- 5       9    16          -1.00
   516 A J.S. Burke Catholic    10- 1       9     8           0.18
   519 H Washingtonville        20- 2      18    14           0.00
   520 H Pine Bush               3- 8      -5     0    --    -5.11
   522 A Minisink Valley        10- 5       5     3           1.79
   528 H Monroe-Woodbury         4- 5      -1     0          -1.01

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Albany Academy          8- 5       3    15    ---        
   418 N Chenango Forks          3- 8      -5     0    --         
   520 H Pine Bush               3- 8      -5     0    --    -5.11
   506 H Delaware Valley        12- 4       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Warwick Valley          9-14      -5    -7    +      2.48
   502 H Valley Central          6- 5  o    1    -2    +      3.55
   504 H Monroe-Woodbury         8- 5       3     0    +      2.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.20 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.31 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.9
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/