Region = NY    Cath             
   Nickname = Y Firebirds            Coach  =   John Fechtmann        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.4098358    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 A Locust Valley          NY C  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 81.0)     7- 8   
 320 A Farmingdale            NY A  Sec 8   (13- 5, 91.5)     4-16   
 327 A St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 7-10, 79.6)    11- 5   
 331 H Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    ( 9-11, 86.1)     6-11   
 403 H Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   (13- 5, 90.4)     1-12   
 404 A Herricks               NY B  Sec 8   ( 6-10, 75.8)    10- 6   
 408 H Chaminade              NY    Cath    (14- 5, 96.2)     2-14   
 414 H St Dominic             NY    Cath    ( 1-13, 70.1)    13- 0   
 415 A Hicksville             NY A  Sec 8   (16- 4, 92.9)     3-11   
 417 H St John Baptist        NY    Cath    (10-11, 85.7)     7- 8   
 423 H St Mary's              NY    Cath    ( 7-10, 79.6)    16- 9   
 425 H Iona Prep              NY    Cathlc  (19- 4, 99.9)     4-15   
 428 A Holy Trinity           NY    Cath    ( 9-11, 86.1)     5-11   
 507 H St Anthony's           NY    Cath    (16- 2, 99.9)     7-17   
 508 A St John Baptist        NY    Cath    (10-11, 85.7)     2- 9   
 511 A St Anthony's           NY    Cath    (16- 2, 99.9)     4-14   
 514 A Chaminade              NY    Cath    (14- 5, 96.2)     2-10   
 519 H St John Baptist        NY    Cath    (10-11, 85.7)     2-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 A Locust Valley           7- 8      -1    -2          n/a  
   320 A Farmingdale             4-16     -12   -12          n/a  
   327 A St Mary's              11- 5       6     0    +++    6.74
   331 H Holy Trinity            6-11      -5    -5           0.97
   403 H Seaford                 1-12     -11   -10          n/a  
   404 A Herricks               10- 6       4     2          n/a  
   408 H Chaminade               2-14     -12   -16           0.00
   414 H St Dominic             13- 0      13    10           0.00
   415 A Hicksville              3-11      -8   -14          n/a  
   417 H St John Baptist         7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.55
   423 H St Mary's              16- 9       7     0    +++    6.46
   425 H Iona Prep               4-15     -11   -19          n/a  
   428 A Holy Trinity            5-11      -6    -7           1.25
   507 H St Anthony's            7-17     -10   -19           0.00
   508 A St John Baptist         2- 9      -7    -6          -0.17
   511 A St Anthony's            4-14     -10   -21           0.00
   514 A Chaminade               2-10      -8   -17    +      2.00
   519 H St John Baptist         2-12     -10    -5    --    -4.45

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   519 H St John Baptist         2-12     -10    -5    --    -4.45

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A St Mary's              11- 5       6     0    +++    6.74
   423 H St Mary's              16- 9       7     0    +++    6.46
   417 H St John Baptist         7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.55
   415 A Hicksville              3-11      -8   -14    +          
   514 A Chaminade               2-10      -8   -17    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.52 Local Power Rank...........     6
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.72 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-14 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/