Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Jamie Sliwa           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.5089493    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H Durham Academy         NC    Prvate  (10- 6, 92.6)     8-14   
 306 H Mount Tabor            NC    4A      (11- 9, 85.7)     5- 6   
 310 H Cedar Ridge            NC    3A/2A   ( 8-10, 78.1)    12- 2   
 312 H Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 77.6)    14- 2   
 319 H Green Hope             NC    4A      ( 9- 5, 82.5)    12-13   
 323 A W.G. Enloe             NC    4A      ( 5-10, 73.8)    16- 2   
 324 H Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (18- 2, 97.2)    10-15   
 326 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-12, 68.1)    17- 4   
 331 A East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (14- 5, 89.8)     6- 9   
 402 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 6-12, 77.0)    11- 5   
 406 A Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)    10- 7   
 407 H Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 5-10, 80.2)    11- 7   
 421 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (18- 2, 97.2)     9-10   
 423 A Durham Riverside       NC    4A      ( 5-10, 80.2)     9- 6   
 424 A Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-12, 68.1)    15- 3   
 428 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (14- 5, 89.8)     6- 8   
 507 A Chapel Hill            NC    4A      (18- 2, 97.2)     5-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H Durham Academy          8-14      -6    -6          n/a  
   306 H Mount Tabor             5- 6      -1     0          -1.39
   310 H Cedar Ridge            12- 2      10     8           1.98
   312 H Cary HS                14- 2      12     8           1.55
   319 H Green Hope             12-13      -1     3    --    -4.64
   323 A W.G. Enloe             16- 2      14    11           0.00
   324 H Chapel Hill            10-15      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   326 H Northern Durham        17- 4      13    18           0.00
   331 A East Chapel Hill        6- 9      -3    -4           1.75
   402 H Cary-Middle Creek      11- 5       6     9    -     -3.14
   406 A Panther Creek          10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.87
   407 H Durham Riverside       11- 7       4     5          -1.90
   421 A Chapel Hill             9-10      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   423 A Durham Riverside        9- 6       3     4          -1.85
   424 A Northern Durham        15- 3      12    16           0.00
   428 H East Chapel Hill        6- 8      -2    -3           1.70
   507 A Chapel Hill             5-17     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Panther Creek          10- 7       3     9    ---   -6.87
   319 H Green Hope             12-13      -1     3    --    -4.64
   402 H Cary-Middle Creek      11- 5       6     9    -     -3.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Chapel Hill             9-10      -1   -12    +++    9.00
   324 H Chapel Hill            10-15      -5   -11    ++     5.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.57 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.16 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    22
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/