Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Raiders          Coach  =   Jay Baehr             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.1036377    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 H Williamsville North    NY A  Sec 6   ( 5-10, 78.8)     1-16   
 403 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 72.8)     6-12   
 423 H Cathedral Prep         PA    Div2-S2 ( 8-10, 84.0)     2-14   
 424 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   (14- 7, 87.9)     1-17   
 428 A North Tonawanda        NY A  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 64.2)     8-12   
 429 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (21- 2, 99.9)     1-19   
 501 H Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 73.7)     6-14   
 504 A Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-10, 72.8)     4-16   
 507 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 4-14, 69.5)     2-15   
 511 A Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (13- 6, 85.6)     1-16   
 514 A Erie-McDowell          PA    Div2-S2 ( 5-12, 79.2)    10-18   
 515 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY A  Sec 6   (12- 7, 86.4)     2-24   
 518 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 75.6)   
 521 A Silver Creek           NY C  Sec 6   (10-10, 73.7)    14-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Williamsville North     1-16     -15   -15           0.00
   403 H Lake Shore Central      6-12      -6    -9    +      3.94
   423 H Cathedral Prep          2-14     -12   -20          n/a  
   424 H Frontier                1-17     -16   -24           0.00
   428 A North Tonawanda         8-12      -4    -3          -0.45
   429 A Orchard Park            1-19     -18   -39           0.00
   501 H Silver Creek            6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   504 A Lake Shore Central      4-16     -12   -12           0.00
   507 A Lockport                2-15     -13    -8          -1.20
   511 A Clarence                1-16     -15   -24           0.00
   514 A Erie-McDowell          10-18      -8   -18          n/a  
   515 H Niagara Wheatfield      2-24     -22   -23           0.00
   521 A Silver Creek           14-16      -2   -13    +++    8.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   521 A Silver Creek           14-16      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   403 H Lake Shore Central      6-12      -6    -9    +      3.94
   501 H Silver Creek            6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   514 A Erie-McDowell          10-18      -8   -18    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 61.80 Local Power Rank...........    32
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.11 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.35 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    29
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    4.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  0-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....  -11.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -10.7
/