Conf =  Rizk                      Region = NJ    Grp-I            
   Nickname = J Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Reid            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.5911789    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Bridgewater-Raritan    NJ    Grp-IV  (16- 7, 94.0)     3-13   
 404 A Montclair              NJ    Grp-IV  (12- 8, 93.0)     4-10   
 407 H Montville              NJ    Grp-II  (15- 5, 87.2)     9-10   
 409 H West Morris Central    NJ    Grp-II  (15- 5, 93.3)     1- 8   
 411 A Morris Catholic        NJ    Grp-B   ( 2-17, 67.0)    11- 5   
 414 H Glen Ridge             NJ    Grp-I   (16- 4, 91.7)     2- 8   
 417 A St Joseph Montvale     NJ    Grp-A   ( 3-15, 71.1)    16- 2   
 418 H Roxbury                NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 87.4)     4-12   
 421 A Fair Lawn              NJ    Grp-III (11- 6, 86.0)    10- 9  o
 424 A Blair Academy          NJ    Private ( 3-14, 69.3)    13- 4   
 425 A Kinnelon               NJ    Grp-I   (16- 6, 94.8)     8-14   
 428 A Boonton                NJ    Grp-I   ( 9- 9, 81.3)     9- 7   
 430 A Glen Rock              NJ    Grp-I   (12- 7, 83.1)    14- 5   
 501 A Sparta                 NJ    Grp-II  ( 4-10, 79.4)     5- 4 2o
 505 A Chatham                NJ    Grp-I   (13- 6, 94.3)     2- 9   
 509 H Cranford               NJ    Grp-I   (16- 4, 91.0)     5-12   
 512 H Pope John XXIII        NJ    Grp-B   (11- 6, 85.1)     8- 4   
 516 H Bernards               NJ    Grp-I   ( 7- 8, 79.8)    11- 9   
 520 A West Essex Regional    NJ    Grp-I   (12- 5, 92.0)     5-12   
 521 A Clifton                NJ    Grp-IV  ( 9- 9, 79.1)    12- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Bridgewater-Raritan     3-13     -10   -10           0.00
   404 A Montclair               4-10      -6    -9    +      3.89
   407 H Montville               9-10      -1    -2           1.09
   409 H West Morris Central     1- 8      -7    -8           1.16
   411 A Morris Catholic        11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   414 H Glen Ridge              2- 8      -6    -6           0.62
   417 A St Joseph Montvale     16- 2      14    11           0.00
   418 H Roxbury                 4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.76
   421 A Fair Lawn              10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.94
   424 A Blair Academy          13- 4       9    13          -1.00
   425 A Kinnelon                8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   428 A Boonton                 9- 7       2     1           0.19
   430 A Glen Rock              14- 5       9     0    +++    9.05
   501 A Sparta                  5- 4 2o    1     3    -     -2.71
   505 A Chatham                 2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00
   509 H Cranford                5-12      -7    -5          -1.08
   512 H Pope John XXIII         8- 4       4     0    +      3.96
   516 H Bernards               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.37
   520 A West Essex Regional     5-12      -7    -8           1.95
   521 A Clifton                12- 5       7     3    +      3.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Morris Catholic        11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   418 H Roxbury                 4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.76
   501 A Sparta                  5- 4 2o    1     3    -     -2.71
   516 H Bernards               11- 9       2     5    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Glen Rock              14- 5       9     0    +++    9.05
   425 A Kinnelon                8-14      -6   -11    ++     4.00
   404 A Montclair               4-10      -6    -9    +      3.89
   421 A Fair Lawn              10- 9  o    1    -2    +      3.94
   505 A Chatham                 2- 9      -7   -11    +      3.00
   512 H Pope John XXIII         8- 4       4     0    +      3.96
   521 A Clifton                12- 5       7     3    +      3.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.10 Local Power Rank...........    64
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.81 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/