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Region = PA LL01 Nickname = A Black Knights Coach = Doug BaileyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 99.9000015 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Downingtown East PA ChesMon (20- 4, 96.8) 7- 9 325 A Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 (10- 8, 89.1) 10- 3 327 H Manheim Township PA LL01 (20- 6, 98.9) 10- 3 328 A Easton PA LehighV (14- 7, 86.0) 5- 8 331 H Penn Manor PA LL01 (11- 8, 90.5) 12- 0 406 A Conestoga Valley PA LL02 ( 6-11, 83.0) 15- 1 408 H Garden Spot PA LL02 ( 1-16, 65.9) 15- 0 413 A Cocalico PA LL02 ( 4-15, 75.3) 19- 1 414 A Warwick PA LL01 ( 9- 9, 91.8) 9- 6 416 A Elizabethtown PA LL02 ( 5-13, 80.5) 16- 2 417 H Ephrata PA LL02 (11- 9, 89.0) 17- 5 418 A Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (10- 7, 88.5) 13- 4 422 H Lampeter-Strasburg PA LL02 (12- 6, 91.2) 15- 3 424 H Carlisle PA Mid 1 (18- 8, 92.8) 10- 2 427 H Lancaster Cou Day PA LL01 (10- 8, 89.1) 15- 6 429 A Manheim Township PA LL01 (20- 6, 98.9) 5- 9 501 A Penn Manor PA LL01 (11- 8, 90.5) 15- 3 505 H Warwick PA LL01 ( 9- 9, 91.8) 7- 4 506 H Ephrata PA LL02 (11- 9, 89.0) 12- 4 508 N Manheim Township PA LL01 (20- 6, 98.9) 5- 1 512 H Cumberland Valley PA Mid 1 (10- 7, 88.5) 16- 4 516 N Conrad Weiser PA Berks (19- 3, 91.5) 12- 1 519 N Hershey PA Mid 1 (22- 3, 97.7) 17- 3 521 N Manheim Township PA LL01 (20- 6, 98.9) 6- 8 526 N Springfield-Delco PA Centrl (19- 6, 95.2) 1-10PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Downingtown East 7- 9 -2 2 n/a 325 A Lancaster Cou Day 10- 3 7 10 - -3.00 327 H Manheim Township 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.28 328 A Easton 5- 8 -3 13 n/a 331 H Penn Manor 12- 0 12 10 0.00 406 A Conestoga Valley 15- 1 14 16 0.00 408 H Garden Spot 15- 0 15 34 0.00 413 A Cocalico 19- 1 18 23 0.00 414 A Warwick 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.38 416 A Elizabethtown 16- 2 14 18 0.00 417 H Ephrata 17- 5 12 11 0.00 418 A Cumberland Valley 13- 4 9 10 -1.00 422 H Lampeter-Strasburg 15- 3 12 9 0.61 424 H Carlisle 10- 2 8 7 0.23 427 H Lancaster Cou Day 15- 6 9 11 -1.00 429 A Manheim Township 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.31 501 A Penn Manor 15- 3 12 8 1.35 505 H Warwick 7- 4 3 8 -- -5.79 506 H Ephrata 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00 508 N Manheim Township 5- 1 4 1 + 2.99 512 H Cumberland Valley 16- 4 12 12 0.00 516 N Conrad Weiser 12- 1 11 8 1.64 519 N Hershey 17- 3 14 2 +++ 7.82 521 N Manheim Township 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.01 526 N Springfield-Delco 1-10 -9 4 n/aUNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Easton 5- 8 -3 13 --- 526 N Springfield-Delco 1-10 -9 4 --- 321 A Downingtown East 7- 9 -2 2 -- 414 A Warwick 9- 6 3 7 -- -4.38 429 A Manheim Township 5- 9 -4 0 -- -4.31 505 H Warwick 7- 4 3 8 -- -5.79 325 A Lancaster Cou Day 10- 3 7 10 - -3.00 506 H Ephrata 12- 4 8 11 - -2.00 521 N Manheim Township 6- 8 -2 1 - -3.01OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 519 N Hershey 17- 3 14 2 +++ 7.82 327 H Manheim Township 10- 3 7 1 ++ 5.28 508 N Manheim Township 5- 1 4 1 + 2.99/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank........... 1 Local SOS Rating......... 77.81 Local SOS Rank............. 2 Local RPI Rating......... 0.70 Local RPI Rank............. 1 Championship Probability . 57.0 Championship Rank ....... 1 Local Quality Win Rating.335.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 1 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 4.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 20- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 3.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 10- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.7 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0