Region = NY    Ivy              
   Nickname = Y Hornets              Coach  =   Chris Arnold          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0186386    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 8- 8, 89.0)    10- 9   
 406 A Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 4-14, 77.4)    14- 5   
 416 H Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (15- 6, 93.9)    15-11   
 417 A Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 89.2)     7-13   
 420 A Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 2-13, 79.3)    14- 6   
 422 A Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 9- 8, 89.0)    11-12  o
 424 H Riverdale Cou Day      NY    Ivy     ( 8- 8, 89.0)    10- 8   
 427 H Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 8- 9, 87.1)    15-13   
 429 H Collegiate             NY    Ivy     ( 4-14, 77.4)    12- 4   
 502 A Fieldston              NY    Ivy     (15- 6, 93.9)     9-15   
 504 A Horace Mann            NY    Ivy     ( 8- 9, 87.1)    10- 8   
 506 H Poly Prep              NY    Ivy     (10- 8, 89.2)    15-14   
 508 H Dalton                 NY    Ivy     ( 2-13, 79.3)    16- 5   
 511 H Trinity School         NY    Ivy     ( 9- 8, 89.0)    18-12   
 514 H Xaverian               NY    Cathlc  ( 8- 6, 86.7)    16- 6   
 516 A Rye Country Day        NE 2  FAA     (17- 2, 99.9)     9-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Riverdale Cou Day      10- 9       1     2          -1.66
   406 A Collegiate             14- 5       9    14          -1.00
   416 H Fieldston              15-11       4     0    +      3.11
   417 A Poly Prep               7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.52
   420 A Dalton                 14- 6       8    12    -     -2.00
   422 A Trinity School         11-12  o   -1     2    -     -3.69
   424 H Riverdale Cou Day      10- 8       2     5    -     -3.76
   427 H Horace Mann            15-13       2     7    --    -5.71
   429 H Collegiate             12- 4       8    17    -     -2.00
   502 A Fieldston               9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.78
   504 A Horace Mann            10- 8       2     4    -     -2.60
   506 H Poly Prep              15-14       1     5    --    -4.63
   508 H Dalton                 16- 5      11    15           0.00
   511 H Trinity School         18-12       6     5           0.20
   514 H Xaverian               16- 6      10     8           1.85
   516 A Rye Country Day         9-14      -5    -7          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 A Poly Prep               7-13      -6     2    ---   -8.52
   427 H Horace Mann            15-13       2     7    --    -5.71
   506 H Poly Prep              15-14       1     5    --    -4.63
   420 A Dalton                 14- 6       8    12    -     -2.00
   422 A Trinity School         11-12  o   -1     2    -     -3.69
   424 H Riverdale Cou Day      10- 8       2     5    -     -3.76
   429 H Collegiate             12- 4       8    17    -     -2.00
   502 A Fieldston               9-15      -6    -2    -     -3.78
   504 A Horace Mann            10- 8       2     4    -     -2.60

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   416 H Fieldston              15-11       4     0    +      3.11
   516 A Rye Country Day         9-14      -5    -7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.25 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.80 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/