Region = NY I  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Ravens               Coach  =   Charlie Brown         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.3808670    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   (15- 0, 99.9)     4- 7   
 406 A Lew-Port               NY I  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 86.4)     4- 2   
 409 H Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 87.0)     8- 3   
 414 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 77.9)     1- 0   
 416 H Erie-Spears            NY I  Sec 6   ( 0-13, 77.9)     9- 0   
 421 H Park School-Buffalo    NY I  Sec 6   ( 0- 6, 75.2)    10- 0   
 423 A Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 87.9)     4- 2   
 428 H Lew-Port               NY I  Sec 6   ( 7- 8, 86.4)     8- 1   
 430 A Kenmore East           NY I  Sec 6   ( 4- 9, 87.0)     7- 9   
 501 H St Mary's Lancaster    NY I  Sec 6   (15- 0, 99.9)     6-15   
 505 H Newfane                NY I  Sec 6   ( 6- 7, 87.9)     4- 3  o
 507 A Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (10- 5, 93.5)     2- 8   
 508 H Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (10- 5, 93.5)     6- 3   
 512 N Genesee                NY I  Sec 6   (10- 5, 93.5)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H St Mary's Lancaster     4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.57
   406 A Lew-Port                4- 2       2     4    -     -2.18
   409 H Kenmore East            8- 3       5     5          -0.35
   416 H Erie-Spears             9- 0       9    14          -1.00
   421 H Park School-Buffalo    10- 0      10    17           0.00
   423 A Newfane                 4- 2       2     2          -0.67
   428 H Lew-Port                8- 1       7     5           1.07
   430 A Kenmore East            7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.60
   501 H St Mary's Lancaster     6-15      -9    -7          -1.43
   505 H Newfane                 4- 3  o    1     4    -     -3.42
   507 A Genesee                 2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.09
   508 H Genesee                 6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.16
   512 N Genesee                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.97

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Kenmore East            7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.60
   406 A Lew-Port                4- 2       2     4    -     -2.18
   505 H Newfane                 4- 3  o    1     4    -     -3.42
   507 A Genesee                 2- 8      -6    -2    -     -3.09
   512 N Genesee                 5-10      -5    -2    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H St Mary's Lancaster     4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.57
   508 H Genesee                 6- 3       3    -1    ++     4.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.46 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.87 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    6.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.175.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    5.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/