Region = NC    4A               
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Dan Morrison          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8687363    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 306 H East Chapel Hill       NC    4A      (14- 5, 89.8)     1-11   
 310 A Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 9-10, 78.4)     4- 5   
 317 A Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 77.6)     9- 8  o
 319 A Durham Jordan          NC    4A      ( 9- 8, 85.6)    13-12   
 323 A SouthEast Raleigh      NC    4A      ( 0-15, 61.4)    17- 2   
 324 H Northern Durham        NC    4A      ( 1-12, 68.1)    20- 6   
 331 A Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)     7- 6   
 403 A Apex                   NC    4A      (11- 6, 85.9)     2-13   
 414 H Athens Drive           NC    4A      ( 9-10, 78.4)    11- 7   
 416 H Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 6-12, 77.0)    10- 5   
 417 H Cary HS                NC    4A      ( 6- 9, 77.6)    10- 5   
 424 A Cary-Middle Creek      NC    4A      ( 6-12, 77.0)    12-13   
 428 H Panther Creek          NC    4A      ( 4-13, 75.2)     9- 4   
 430 H Apex                   NC    4A      (11- 6, 85.9)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 H East Chapel Hill        1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.19
   310 A Athens Drive            4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.56
   317 A Cary HS                 9- 8  o    1     4    -     -3.29
   319 A Durham Jordan          13-12       1    -3    ++     4.64
   323 A SouthEast Raleigh      17- 2      15    20           0.00
   324 H Northern Durham        20- 6      14    14           0.00
   331 A Panther Creek           7- 6       1     6    --    -5.76
   403 A Apex                    2-13     -11    -3    ---   -6.07
   414 H Athens Drive           11- 7       4     4          -0.61
   416 H Cary-Middle Creek      10- 5       5     6          -1.03
   417 H Cary HS                10- 5       5     5          -0.34
   424 A Cary-Middle Creek      12-13      -1     4    --    -5.98
   428 H Panther Creek           9- 4       5     7    -     -2.81
   430 H Apex                    6- 8      -2    -2           0.88

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Apex                    2-13     -11    -3    ---   -6.07
   310 A Athens Drive            4- 5      -1     3    --    -4.56
   331 A Panther Creek           7- 6       1     6    --    -5.76
   424 A Cary-Middle Creek      12-13      -1     4    --    -5.98
   306 H East Chapel Hill        1-11     -10    -6    -     -3.19
   317 A Cary HS                 9- 8  o    1     4    -     -3.29
   428 H Panther Creek           9- 4       5     7    -     -2.81

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 A Durham Jordan          13-12       1    -3    ++     4.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.46 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.67 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    31
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    30
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/