Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8830795    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H Landon                 DC    IAC     (18- 4, 94.6)     4- 9   
 321 N Severn                 MD A  MIAA    (13-10, 89.8)     4-11   
 325 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 7-13, 87.5)     8- 7   
 327 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (13- 7, 95.7)     8- 3   
 328 A Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    ( 9- 8, 89.0)     3- 6   
 331 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    ( 5-14, 85.5)    10- 8   
 406 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (13- 4, 97.9)    11-10  o
 407 H Wootton                MD 43 West    (17- 1, 94.0)     8- 9   
 408 H Coronado               CA    City    (21- 2, 99.9)     1- 7   
 414 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (20- 3, 99.9)     3-14   
 417 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (15- 6, 96.1)     3- 9   
 419 H Malden Catholic        MA 1          (11-10, 87.3)    11- 8   
 423 H Bishop McNamara        DC    WCAC    ( 1-12, 73.4)    18- 2   
 424 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (11- 9, 89.0)    15- 3   
 427 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    ( 9-12, 90.3)     6- 5   
 428 H Archbishop Carroll     DC    WCAC    ( 0-13, 68.8)    17- 0   
 504 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (11- 9, 89.0)    11- 4   
 507 H St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    (13- 4, 97.9)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Landon                  4- 9      -5    -1          n/a  
   321 N Severn                  4-11      -7     1          n/a  
   325 A Bishop Ireton           8- 7       1     1          -0.97
   327 H Paul VI                 8- 3       5    -1    +++    6.93
   328 A Mount St Joseph         3- 6      -3     1          n/a  
   331 A Bishop O'Connell       10- 8       2     3          -1.92
   406 A St Marys Ryken         11-10  o    1    -8    +++    9.43
   407 H Wootton                 8- 9      -1     0          n/a  
   408 H Coronado                1- 7      -6    -6          n/a  
   414 H Georgetown Prep         3-14     -11    -7          n/a  
   417 H DeMatha                 3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.61
   419 H Malden Catholic        11- 8       3     5          n/a  
   423 H Bishop McNamara        18- 2      16    20           0.00
   424 H St Johns DC            15- 3      12     4    ++     5.26
   427 A Gonzaga                 6- 5       1     0           1.91
   428 H Archbishop Carroll     17- 0      17    25           0.00
   504 H St Johns DC            11- 4       7     4    +      2.26
   507 H St Marys Ryken          9-10      -1    -4    +      3.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 N Severn                  4-11      -7     1    ---        
   328 A Mount St Joseph         3- 6      -3     1    --         
   311 H Landon                  4- 9      -5    -1    -          
   414 H Georgetown Prep         3-14     -11    -7    -          
   417 H DeMatha                 3- 9      -6    -2    -     -3.61
   419 H Malden Catholic        11- 8       3     5    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Paul VI                 8- 3       5    -1    +++    6.93
   406 A St Marys Ryken         11-10  o    1    -8    +++    9.43
   424 H St Johns DC            15- 3      12     4    ++     5.26
   504 H St Johns DC            11- 4       7     4    +      2.26
   507 H St Marys Ryken          9-10      -1    -4    +      3.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.59 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.66 Local SOS Rank.............     2
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/