Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7158661    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 A Somers                 CT S          (11- 8, 81.1)     5- 3   
 409 A Rockville              CT M          ( 5-11, 72.1)     5- 2   
 414 H Avon HS                CT M          (13- 5, 82.9)    10- 3   
 416 A Ellington              CT S          ( 7-10, 75.4)     5- 4   
 420 A Farmington             CT M          ( 7-10, 77.0)     6- 7   
 425 H Newington              CT M          ( 3-13, 72.4)     9- 4   
 429 H Tolland                CT S          ( 4-11, 73.2)    11- 3   
 502 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 9- 9, 79.2)    10- 9  o
 504 H Somers                 CT S          (11- 8, 81.1)    10- 3   
 512 H Ellington              CT S          ( 7-10, 75.4)     6- 4   
 514 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 9- 9, 79.2)     9- 2   
 519 A Housatonic Valley      CT S          ( 6-10, 73.7)     8- 6   
 521 A Tolland                CT S          ( 4-11, 73.2)    14- 8   
 522 H Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 6-10, 79.5)    13- 8   
 526 A Old Saybrook           CT S          ( 8- 9, 72.5)    10- 2   
 527 A Avon HS                CT M          (13- 5, 82.9)     9- 8   
 602 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 9- 9, 79.2)     8- 9 2o
 609 H Weston                 CT S          (13- 9, 88.5)     4-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 A Somers                  5- 3       2     2          -0.68
   409 A Rockville               5- 2       3    11    ---   -7.00
   414 H Avon HS                10- 3       7     2    ++     4.19
   416 A Ellington               5- 4       1     8    ---   -7.33
   420 A Farmington              6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.73
   425 H Newington               9- 4       5    13    --    -5.00
   429 H Tolland                11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   502 H Suffield HS            10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.60
   504 H Somers                 10- 3       7     4    +      2.34
   512 H Ellington               6- 4       2    10    ---   -8.00
   514 A Suffield HS             9- 2       7     4    +      2.38
   519 A Housatonic Valley       8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   521 A Tolland                14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   522 H Northwest Catholic     13- 8       5     6          -1.22
   526 A Old Saybrook           10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00
   527 A Avon HS                 9- 8       1     0           0.18
   602 H Suffield HS             8- 9 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.60
   609 H Weston                  4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.25

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Rockville               5- 2       3    11    ---   -7.00
   416 A Ellington               5- 4       1     8    ---   -7.33
   420 A Farmington              6- 7      -1     6    ---   -7.73
   512 H Ellington               6- 4       2    10    ---   -8.00
   519 A Housatonic Valley       8- 6       2    10    ---   -8.00
   602 H Suffield HS             8- 9 2o   -1     6    ---   -7.60
   425 H Newington               9- 4       5    13    --    -5.00
   502 H Suffield HS            10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.60
   521 A Tolland                14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   609 H Weston                  4-12      -8    -2    --    -5.25
   429 H Tolland                11- 3       8    12    -     -2.00
   526 A Old Saybrook           10- 2       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 H Avon HS                10- 3       7     2    ++     4.19
   504 H Somers                 10- 3       7     4    +      2.34
   514 A Suffield HS             9- 2       7     4    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.76 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.55 Local SOS Rank.............    60
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.7
/