Conf =  ECIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Jason England         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.5162506    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Ledyard                CT S          (14- 6, 83.5)     6-14   
 414 A Saint Bernard          CT S          ( 8- 9, 72.1)     9- 6   
 417 A Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 9- 9, 81.3)     7-16   
 421 H Wheeler-No Stonington  CT S          ( 6-10, 66.4)    10- 2   
 423 A Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 5-11, 69.1)    12- 6   
 428 H Avon HS                CT M          (13- 5, 82.9)     5-14   
 430 A Ledyard                CT S          (14- 6, 83.5)     3-11   
 502 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 9- 9, 81.3)     4-15   
 505 A East Lyme              CT M          (18- 3, 91.7)     0-17   
 507 H Waterford              CT S          ( 9- 8, 74.0)    13-16   
 509 A Bacon Academy          CT M          ( 7-10, 69.7)    10- 9 2o
 511 H East Lyme              CT M          (18- 3, 91.7)     1-18   
 512 A Wilbur Cross           CT L          ( 2-14, 63.5)    10- 3   
 514 A Stonington             CT S          (10- 8, 76.2)     5-12   
 519 H Woodstock Academy      CT M          ( 5-11, 69.1)     9- 3   
 521 A Branford               CT M          ( 7-11, 80.6)     6-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Ledyard                 6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   414 A Saint Bernard           9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.37
   417 A Norwich Free Academy    7-16      -9   -10           1.00
   421 H Wheeler-No Stonington  10- 2       8     6           1.76
   423 A Woodstock Academy      12- 6       6     1    ++     4.42
   428 H Avon HS                 5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   430 A Ledyard                 3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
   502 H Norwich Free Academy    4-15     -11    -8          -1.37
   505 A East Lyme               0-17     -17   -21           0.00
   507 H Waterford              13-16      -3    -1          -1.65
   509 A Bacon Academy          10- 9 2o    1     1          -0.00
   511 H East Lyme               1-18     -17   -19           0.00
   512 A Wilbur Cross           10- 3       7     7          -0.17
   514 A Stonington              5-12      -7    -5          -1.49
   519 H Woodstock Academy       9- 3       6     3    +      2.43
   521 A Branford                6-16     -10    -9          -0.05

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   414 A Saint Bernard           9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.37
   423 A Woodstock Academy      12- 6       6     1    ++     4.42
   408 H Ledyard                 6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   430 A Ledyard                 3-11      -8   -12    +      2.00
   519 H Woodstock Academy       9- 3       6     3    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.68 Local Power Rank...........    63
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.69 Local SOS Rank.............    57
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    29
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/