Region = VA    Cedar            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Reed Gillespie        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.9114151    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Park View              VA    Dulles  ( 0-12, 67.3)    17- 0   
 317 H Freedom-South Riding   VA    Dulles  ( 7- 8, 88.0)     9- 6   
 321 H Dominion HS            VA    Dulles  (11- 7, 93.5)     7-11   
 323 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Cedar   ( 1-11, 71.7)    15- 0   
 330 H Battlefield            VA    Cedar   ( 9- 5, 90.1)     6-10   
 331 A Brentsville            VA    NoWest  ( 5- 8, 84.6)    10- 9   
 413 A Osbourn Park           VA    Cedar   ( 9- 9, 90.3)     4- 9   
 416 H Stonewall Jackson      VA    Cedar   ( 9- 5, 92.4)     5-17   
 422 A Kettle Run             VA    NoWest  ( 3- 8, 76.9)    15- 5   
 423 H Liberty-Bealeton       VA    Cedar   ( 1-11, 71.7)    14- 2   
 425 A Osbourn                VA    Cedar   ( 6- 8, 85.1)     7- 8   
 427 H Loudoun Valley         VA    Cedar   (17- 4, 99.9)     6-11   
 430 H Culpeper HS            VA    Cedar   ( 0-12, 69.0)     7- 5   
 509 N Battlefield            VA    Cedar   ( 9- 5, 90.1)     4-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Park View              17- 0      17    17          n/a  
   317 H Freedom-South Riding    9- 6       3    -1          n/a  
   321 H Dominion HS             7-11      -4    -7          n/a  
   323 A Liberty-Bealeton       15- 0      15    12           0.00
   330 H Battlefield             6-10      -4    -3          -0.27
   331 A Brentsville            10- 9       1     0          n/a  
   413 A Osbourn Park            4- 9      -5    -5           0.77
   416 H Stonewall Jackson       5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.93
   422 A Kettle Run             15- 5      10     7          n/a  
   423 H Liberty-Bealeton       14- 2      12    14           0.00
   425 A Osbourn                 7- 8      -1     0          -0.38
   427 H Loudoun Valley          6-11      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   430 H Culpeper HS             7- 5       2    17    ---   -8.00
   509 N Battlefield             4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.36

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Culpeper HS             7- 5       2    17    ---   -8.00
   509 N Battlefield             4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.36
   416 H Stonewall Jackson       5-17     -12    -6    -     -3.93

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Freedom-South Riding    9- 6       3    -1    ++         
   427 H Loudoun Valley          6-11      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   321 H Dominion HS             7-11      -4    -7    +          
   422 A Kettle Run             15- 5      10     7    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.43 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.61 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.3
/