Conf =  FCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Chris Parisi          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7611084    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 409 H New Canaan             CT M          (12- 8, 91.3)     3- 5   
 411 H Danbury                CT L          ( 3-13, 77.5)    12- 5   
 414 A Greenwich HS           CT L          (10- 8, 90.1)     4- 5   
 417 A Fairfield-Warde        CT M          ( 5-11, 79.9)     9- 6   
 421 A St Joseph-Trumbull     CT S          (16- 5, 91.1)     5-14   
 423 H Hall-West Hartford     CT M          ( 8- 9, 81.5)     6- 3   
 424 A Bridgeport Central     CT L          ( 0-13, 62.4)    16- 0   
 428 H Darien                 CT M          (18- 5, 98.9)     4-12   
 430 H Hamden                 CT L          ( 5-11, 74.0)    13- 2   
 502 H Shelton                CT L          ( 4-12, 73.5)    11- 4   
 505 H Trinity Catholic       CT S          ( 1-14, 70.7)    15- 0   
 507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          (10- 8, 87.6)    10- 9   
 512 A Wilton                 CT M          (16- 6, 96.4)     5-17   
 519 A Staples-Westport       CT L          (10- 8, 87.9)     4- 9   
 522 A Westhill               CT L          (12- 6, 86.0)     8- 9   
 527 A Conard-West Hartford   CT M          (11- 8, 85.1)     6- 9   
 606 A Avon HS                CT M          (13- 5, 82.9)    17- 5   
 609 A Darien                 CT M          (18- 5, 98.9)     5- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H New Canaan              3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.16
   411 H Danbury                12- 5       7     9    -     -2.62
   414 A Greenwich HS            4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.95
   417 A Fairfield-Warde         9- 6       3     5    -     -2.30
   421 A St Joseph-Trumbull      5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.04
   423 H Hall-West Hartford      6- 3       3     5    -     -2.65
   424 A Bridgeport Central     16- 0      16    22           0.00
   428 H Darien                  4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   430 H Hamden                 13- 2      11    13           0.00
   502 H Shelton                11- 4       7    13    -     -3.00
   505 H Trinity Catholic       15- 0      15    16           0.00
   507 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  10- 9       1     0           1.45
   512 A Wilton                  5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   519 A Staples-Westport        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.23
   522 A Westhill                8- 9      -1     0          -0.14
   527 A Conard-West Hartford    6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.10
   606 A Avon HS                17- 5      12     2    +++    7.78
   609 A Darien                  5- 7      -2   -13    +++    8.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Danbury                12- 5       7     9    -     -2.62
   417 A Fairfield-Warde         9- 6       3     5    -     -2.30
   421 A St Joseph-Trumbull      5-14      -9    -5    -     -3.04
   423 H Hall-West Hartford      6- 3       3     5    -     -2.65
   502 H Shelton                11- 4       7    13    -     -3.00
   519 A Staples-Westport        4- 9      -5    -2    -     -2.23
   527 A Conard-West Hartford    6- 9      -3     0    -     -3.10

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   606 A Avon HS                17- 5      12     2    +++    7.78
   609 A Darien                  5- 7      -2   -13    +++    8.00
   409 H New Canaan              3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.16
   414 A Greenwich HS            4- 5      -1    -4    +      3.95
   428 H Darien                  4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.16 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.67 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    33
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/