Region = PA    LL02             
   Nickname = A Moutaineers          Coach  =   Mike Ream             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.4007263    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 A Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    (12- 6, 91.2)     7- 8   
 326 H Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    ( 6-11, 83.0)    11- 8   
 327 A Palmyra                PA    Mid 1   ( 6-10, 81.6)    16-10   
 330 H Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 4-15, 75.3)    18- 6   
 401 A Elizabethtown          PA    LL02    ( 5-13, 80.5)    16- 3   
 404 H Conrad Weiser          PA    Berks   (19- 3, 91.5)     8-10   
 406 H Penn Manor             PA    LL01    (11- 8, 90.5)     2- 6   
 409 A Lancaster Cou Day      PA    LL01    (10- 8, 89.1)     8- 6   
 414 A Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 1-16, 65.9)    15- 1   
 416 H Warwick                PA    LL01    ( 9- 9, 91.8)     3-11   
 417 A Hempfield              PA    LL01    (20- 5, 99.9)     5-17   
 418 H Wilson West Lawn       PA    Berks   (12- 7, 87.6)     7- 4   
 421 A Manheim Township       PA    LL01    (20- 6, 98.9)     3-10   
 423 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    LL02    (12- 6, 91.2)     6- 8   
 428 A Conestoga Valley       PA    LL02    ( 6-11, 83.0)    12-11   
 430 A Cocalico               PA    LL02    ( 4-15, 75.3)    18- 2   
 501 H Elizabethtown          PA    LL02    ( 5-13, 80.5)    11- 8   
 504 H Garden Spot            PA    LL02    ( 1-16, 65.9)    22- 0   
 506 A Hempfield              PA    LL01    (20- 5, 99.9)     4-12   
 512 A Hershey                PA    Mid 1   (22- 3, 97.7)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Lampeter-Strasburg      7- 8      -1    -2           1.89
   326 H Conestoga Valley       11- 8       3     6    -     -3.76
   327 A Palmyra                16-10       6     6          -0.75
   330 H Cocalico               18- 6      12    14           0.00
   401 A Elizabethtown          16- 3      13     7    +      2.19
   404 H Conrad Weiser           8-10      -2    -1          -0.20
   406 H Penn Manor              2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.19
   409 A Lancaster Cou Day       8- 6       2     0    +      2.81
   414 A Garden Spot            15- 1      14    22           0.00
   416 H Warwick                 3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.93
   417 A Hempfield               5-17     -12   -11           0.00
   418 H Wilson West Lawn        7- 4       3     2           0.87
   421 A Manheim Township        3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   423 H Lampeter-Strasburg      6- 8      -2    -1          -0.53
   428 A Conestoga Valley       12-11       1     5    --    -4.34
   430 A Cocalico               18- 2      16    13           0.00
   501 H Elizabethtown          11- 8       3     9    ---   -6.23
   504 H Garden Spot            22- 0      22    23           0.00
   506 A Hempfield               4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
   512 A Hershey                 4-13      -9    -9           0.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 H Elizabethtown          11- 8       3     9    ---   -6.23
   416 H Warwick                 3-11      -8    -2    --    -5.93
   428 A Conestoga Valley       12-11       1     5    --    -4.34
   326 H Conestoga Valley       11- 8       3     6    -     -3.76
   406 H Penn Manor              2- 6      -4     0    -     -3.19

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Elizabethtown          16- 3      13     7    +      2.19
   409 A Lancaster Cou Day       8- 6       2     0    +      2.81
   421 A Manheim Township        3-10      -7   -10    +      3.00
   506 A Hempfield               4-12      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.04 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.33 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    24
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/